NFL Trades Tracker: Odds for QBs on the 2021 Carousel

NFL Trades Tracker: Odds for QBs on the 2021 Carousel article feature image
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Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Deshaun Watson

The 2021 NFL quarterback carousel is spinning.

The Rams kickstarted it when they traded Jared Goff and a trio of draft picks (including two first-rounders) to the Lions in exchange for Matthew Stafford. Now, fans and bettors alike are waiting for the next shoe to drop.

With that in mind, find the latest odds for key QBs who have been featured in reports and trade rumors below.

Note: All of the following information is as of Feb. 11 or 12 and odds are via various legal sportsbooks.


Skip to: Deshaun Watson | Carson Wentz | Russell Wilson | Sam Darnold


Deshaun Watson Trade Odds

Team
Odds
Broncos
+150
Texans
+300
Dolphins
+350
Panthers
+400
49ers
+500
Jets
+600
Bears
+1500
Patriots
+1500
Washington
+1700
Lions
+2200
Colts
+2200
Eagles
+2500
Odds as of Feb. 19 and via FanDuel, where you can get up to a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Matthew Trebby: While the Texans made news by releasing longtime franchise star J.J. Watt, there was more news on Deshaun Watson that affected the quarterback’s betting market: According to ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler, the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers are among the teams that Watson would be interested in.

The New York Jets? Not so much.

The Jets have the most to offer the Texans, with two first-round picks both this year and in 2022. But New York is coming off a two-win season and has shown few signs of improvement recently.

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The Broncos have the ninth pick in this year’s draft and could build a package around quarterback Drew Lock. Whether that’s one the Texans would be interested in remains to be seen.

The 49ers have the 12th overall pick and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo’s contract that they’d like to rid. Those two alone likely wouldn’t come close to touching Watson’s value in Houston’s eyes, although the Texans may have more interest in Garoppolo than most teams given general manager Nick Caserio and Jack Easterby’s past with the Patriots.

Read more about Deshaun Watson’s trade odds

Carson Wentz Trade Odds

Team
Odds
Bears
+115
Colts
+135
Broncos
+850
Washington
+1000
Panthers
+1300
Texans
+1600
Patriots
+1800
49ers
+1800
Raiders
+1800
Jets
+2500
Dolphins
+3000
Odds as of Feb. 11 and via PointsBet in Colorado.

Editor’s Note: Carson Wentz was traded to the Colts

Katie Richcreek: Days after Adam Schefter first reported that Carson Wentz is expected to be traded, odds to be the quarterback’s next team remain unchanged … at PointsBet, at least.

The Chicago Bears are still favored at +115, meaning a $100 bet would net a $115 profit (convert more betting odds here). The Indianapolis Colts aren’t far behind on the oddsboard at +135 (bet $100 to win $135), but the gap after those two teams is notable.

Interestingly, the Colts are favored at FanDuel (+125) while the Bears are the ones directly behind (+150), but the gap between them and the rest remains: Odds for the next teams are +450 (Texans and Eagles).

Read more about Carson Wentz’s trade odds


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Russell Wilson Trade Odds

Team
Odds
Raiders
+450
Cowboys
+650
Jaguars
+750
Washington
+800
49ers
+900
Broncos
+1100
Colts
+1100
Dolphins
+1200
Panthers
+1600
Bears
+1600
Patriots
+1600
Jets
+1600
Odds as of Feb. 12 and via PointsBet.

Tommy Stokke: Russell Wilson hasn’t reached Deshaun Watson’s level of frustration with the only franchise he’s ever known, but the quarterback’s displeasure is enough for public speculation on his future to begin.

And with speculation comes betting odds.

The Seahawks aren’t expected to actually move on from Wilson, although sometimes where there’s smoke, there’s fire.

If Tom Brady can successfully leave the Patriots and win, who’s to say it can’t happen to Wilson? It’s more likely this is a ploy to motivate the front office to make necessary adjustments to support Wilson. But if this public spat becomes a problem, PointsBet pegs the Raiders as favorites to acquire Wilson.

The Raiders have been in rumors all offseason about potential upgrades from Derek Carr and Marcus Mariota. While Carr’s brother, David, has said that the team is turning down trade offers, there’s little doubt Mark Davis and Jon Gruden would jump at the opportunity to land someone like Wilson.

Read more about Russell Wilson’s trade odds

Sam Darnold Trade Odds

Team
Odds
Jets
+150
Panthers
+500
Texans
+500
Colts
+600
49ers
+800
Washington
+800
Broncos
+1000
Bears
+1200
Saints
+1400
Steelers
+1400
Patriots
+1600
Eagles
+1600
Raiders
+2000
Dolphins
+2000
Falcons
+2500
Odds as of Feb. 12 and via DraftKings.

Katie Richcreek: According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, the New York Jets have fielded inquiries from teams interested in trading for the third-overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft, though the Jets have yet to formally confirm such calls. Either way, the report has the rumor mill churning, and there’s enough speculation to inspire sportsbooks.

DraftKings released odds to be the team Darnold plays his first snap for in 2021. The Jets are a clear betting favorite at +150 (bet $100 to net a $150 profit), giving them a 40% implied probability to retain the quarterback (convert more odds with our calculator).

The book has also listed odds for all 32 teams. The following have odds better than +1000: Panthers (+500), Texans (+500), Colts (+600), 49ers (+800) and Washington (+800). Of course, all five of those teams are expected to feature in this offseason’s QB market as either buyers or sellers (or both), though some may end up making moves in the draft.

Read more about Sam Darnold’s trade odds

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