Best Redskins-Saints MNF Player Props: Chris Thompson Over/Under 4.5 Receptions?

Best Redskins-Saints MNF Player Props: Chris Thompson Over/Under 4.5 Receptions? article feature image
Credit:

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Thomspon

  • There are two props offering betting value in the Monday Night Football game between the Washington Redskins and New Orleans Saints (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).
  • This piece will analyze the following prop bets: Saints WR Cameron Meredith over/under 36.5 receiving yards and Redskins RB Chris Thompson over/under 4.5 receptions.

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We take each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverage them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

Each prop bet then receives a grade, with 10 being the absolute best.

There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Washington Redskins-New Orleans Saints matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.

All odds as of 1:30 p.m. ET on Monday.

Saints WR Cameron Meredith

The pick: Under 36.5 receiving yards (-114 @ BetOnline)

He’s no longer on the injury report and he saw four targets in Week 4. However, the target distribution in this offense is relatively spread out outside of Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas, who have secured 56% of the target share in 2018.

The remaining options are tough to trust week to week. Meredith has played just 43% and 31% of the snaps in his two appearances this season.

Ted Ginn is nursing a knee injury tonight, but even if Meredith sees an increase in snaps, the under on his receiving yards looks like a solid bet for Monday Night Football with Mark Ingram returning to bolster the run game.

This under received a 10 out of 10 on Fantasy Labs’ props tool.

Redskins RB Chris Thompson

The pick: Over 4.5 receptions (-160 @ Bovada)

This matchup couldn’t set up much better for Thompson’s skill set, as the Saints currently rank 31st at defending running backs in the passing game, per DVOA. Further, New Orleans ranks first and 31st against the run and pass overall in that same category, so it’s a clear funnel situation favoring success through the air for Washington.

Per Pro Football Focus, Thompson has run 79 routes to Adrian Peterson’s 27, and game script should also skew toward a usage bump for the Redskins passing game, as the Saints are currently 6-point home favorites.

This over received a 9 out of 10 on Fantasy Labs’ props tool.