Titans-Texans MNF Betting Preview: Will Houston’s Luck Run Out vs. Tennessee?


USA Today Sports. Pictured: Marcus Mariota, J.J. Watt

Nov 27, 2018, 07:31 PM EST

Betting odds: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

  • Spread: Texans -3.5
  • Over/Under: 41.5
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: This is perhaps the biggest sharp vs. square matchup of the week.

After opening between -5.5 and -6.5, the Texans have fallen to -3.5/-4 around the market, despite getting two-thirds of spread bets while the Titans are getting half of the dollars despite the public not being on their side.

There have also been two reverse line moves triggered in Sports Insights’ Bet Signals on the Titans, with sharps hitting them at +6 and +5.5. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: NFL spreads are influenced by recent performance, and the Titans are likely being undervalued by the public following their 38-10 loss to the Colts last week.

Since 2003, teams that lost their previous game by 20 or more points have actually 415-348-17 (54%) against the spread, per our Bet Labs data.

If their next game is on the road, these teams have gone 187-147-6 (56%) ATS because home-field advantage is often overvalued. John Ewing