Don't wait until the end of the AFC and NFC Championship Games to start looking into Super Bowl LX bets. There's value to be found now — and our NFL expert Sean Koerner has already found a Super Bowl MVP futures bet he likes in Broncos quarterback Jarrett Stidham, who is being called upon following Bo Nix's season-ending ankle injury.
Find out why Koerner believes there's value in Stidham for Super Bowl MVP before the AFC Championship Game.
Super Bowl MVP Pick: Jarrett Stidham Has Value
This isn't the most exciting Super Bowl futures bet to make, but there's value on Jarret Stidham at 20-to-1 odds.
The public is expectedly low on the Broncos' backup quarterback, evidenced by the Patriots-Broncos spread moving about 6-7 points after Sean Payton revealed Bo Nix would be out for the season. While not spectacular, Nix has been rock solid for the Broncos this season — but I don't think the drop-off from him to Stidham is as significant as people make it out to be.
The Broncos earned the first seed in the AFC primarily because they have one of the best defenses in the NFL and a good offensive line. If you look at Stidham's four starts over the past three seasons, he's been right around league average for even a starting quarterback so I think Denver will be fine with him at the helm.
- vs. 49ers (2023): 23-for-34, 365 yards, 3 TDs, 2 INTs
- vs. Chiefs (2023): 22-for-36, 219 yards, TD, INT
- vs. Chargers (2023): 20-for-32, 224 yards, TD
- @ Raiders (2024): 20-for-34, 272 yards, TD, INT
He didn't play at all during this past regular season outside of a kneeldown in Week 8. However, if you look at Stidham's preseason, he was excellent (30-for-38 for 376 yards and 4 TDs over two games).
Another underrated angle here is that Stidham's been part of the Broncos organization since 2023 — he knows the system and he's more than qualified to step in and potentially surprise people.
And don't remember that Super Bowl MVP tends to be a quarterback award. Seven of that last 10 winners have been a quarterback; 14 of the last 20 if you want to go back even further.
If he just has a competent performance, it's a very real possibility Stidham wins. He already has the crazy narrative behind him, unexpectedly stepping in for Nix in the AFC Championship Game — against the team that drafted him no less.
Pick: Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP
Note: If lines/odds move by the time you read this story, make sure to follow Sean in the Action Network app to get alerts when he places a bet.
