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Cardinals-Seahawks Betting Preview: Is Seattle Motivated Enough to Warrant a Wager?

Dec 30, 2018 8:15 AM EST
Credit:

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Arizona Cardinals quarterback Josh Rosen (3).

Betting odds: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

  • Spread: Seahawks -13
  • Over/under: 38.5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: Ticket percentages are a bit misleading in this matchup. Fifty-one percent of bets are on Seattle, suggesting that overall betting action is balanced. However, 81% of dollars wagered are on Arizona at the time of writing, revealing that bettors expect the Cards to keep this game within two touchdowns (see live data here). — PJ Walsh

Trends to know: Seattle (9-4-2 against the spread) has been one of the most profitable teams this season covering on average by 5.5 points per game. While bettors have made money wagering on the Seahawks, this could be a good opportunity to fade them.

Since 2003, teams that have covered the spread by five or more points per game have gone 304-380-21 (44%) ATS in Week 5 or later in the season according to our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

The Cardinals are about to make gambling history. Last week against the Rams, Arizona closed as a 14.5-point underdog against Los Angeles. Currently, the Cardinals are 13.5-point underdogs against the Seahawks.

Since 2003, only four other teams have been more than a 10-point underdog to divisional opponents in consecutive weeks.

Those teams went 4-0 against the spread:

2014: Raiders (+10.5) at Chargers (L, 13-6)
2010: Lions (+14.5) at Packers (L, 28-26)
2009: Buccaneers (+12) at Falcons (L, 20-17)
2005: Texans (+17.5) at Colts (L, 31-17) — Evan Abrams

Playoff picture: The Seahawks clinched a playoff spot with their win over Kansas City in Week 16.

Our simulations give Seattle a 95.6% chance to get the 5-seed. To move down to the 6-seed, the Seahawks would need to lose to Arizona and have Minnesota beat Chicago.

In other words, Seattle will be motivated to win on Sunday, but has little incentive to do much else. Scott T. Miller

Draft order: According to our simulations, the Cardinals have a 90.5% get the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 draft.

Beating the Seahawks is the only thing that could screw that up. Scott T. Miller