We have you covered with a total of six NFL player prop picks for Sunday of Week 17.
Our staff has locked in prop bets for almost all of Sunday's big games, starting with Jaguars vs. Colts, Buccaneers vs. Dolphins among others, at 1:00 p.m. ET. Then, we have picks for later in the day for Eagles vs. Bills and 49ers vs. Bears on Sunday Night Football. We also have bets for Bengals vs. Cardinals, Saints vs. Titans, and more.
Let's dig into our NFL player props and best bets for Week 17 of the NFL season on December 28.
NFL Player Props Week 17
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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| 1:00 p.m. | |
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| 4:25 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Cardinals vs. Bengals
Joe Burrow Over 263.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Joe Burrow has looked great since coming back from injury, hitting the over at this number in three out of four games.
The Bengals continue to pass at a high rate while the game isn't out of hand, with Burrow having 46, 36, 39 and 32 pass attempts in the last four games.
The Cardinals defense has been bad this season, and while they struggle more versus the rush, they are still very much a below-average pass defense.
The weather is a slight concern, but it doesn't look bad enough to affect the passing game too much.
I have Burrow projected for 20 yards over this number.
Pick: Joe Burrow Over 263.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Saints vs. Titans
Tyler Shough Under 21.5 Completions (-120)
By Nick Galaida
Tyler Shough had 32 completions against the Jets in Week 16, but it doesn't seem particularly sustainable for New Orleans to have such a pass-heavy approach, even with the team's running back depth being challenged.
The Titans have been poor defensively for much of this season, but they have recently been playing relatively well outside of their matchup against the 49ers. They held Sam Darnold and Trevor Lawrence below their season-long Success Rate.
Shough has relied more on big plays than on down-to-down success since taking over as the team's starter.
Even last week against the Jets, he had only a 38.9% Success Rate, but he finished with a positive EPA/play thanks to multiple completions of 30+ yards to Chris Olave and Juwan Johnson.
Pick: Tyler Shough Under 21.5 Completions (-120)
Jaguars vs. Colts
Parker Washington Anytime TD (+275)
By Grant Neiffer
Parker Washington had a big game last week with six receptions for 145 yards and a touchdown, and now, he gets another favorable matchup this week against the Colts.
The Colts have played man coverage at a top-10 rate this season, and Washington has been the best receiver for the Jags vs. man.
I have the true odds of Washington scoring this week around +225, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Parker Washington Anytime TD (+275)
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
Baker Mayfield Under 32.5 Pass Attempts (114)
Baker Mayfield got banged up in Week 12 against the Rams. Since then, the Bucs' pass rate has slipped to 54.8%. For context, only five teams are below 55% on the season. The Bucs were at 59.6% heading into this recent stretch.
Mayfield has played poorly since going down in Week 12. His EPA/play has fallen to 0.06 in this four-game span. It was 0.13 prior to the Rams game.
The Dolphins weren't competitive with Quinn Ewers under center in Week 16, and now they are 5.5-point underdogs at home. Miami has been destroyed in the past two games and doesn't have much to play for at this point.
Mayfield could have a solid game from a yardage/touchdown perspective, but the game script will likely trend toward the Bucs running the ball.
Pick: Baker Mayfield Under 32.5 Pass Attempts (114)
Eagles vs. Bills
Saquon Barkley Over 83.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
By Chris Prince
While 2025 has been far less explosive and productive for Barkley compared to 2024, he has still shown the ability to pop the big play, and this is an excellent spot for him to do it against a vulnerable Buffalo run defense.
Barkley has 20+ carries in each of his last three games, and he has gone over 120 rushing yards in two of his last three games.
Buffalo has struggled mightily against the run all season, allowing 112.9 rushing yards per game to running backs (fourth-most).
Over the past two weeks, the Bills have surrendered 160 rushing yards to the Browns, and a whopping 246 to the Patriots.
The Bills have only held four teams under 100 rushing yards this season, and I'm fully expecting the Eagles to establish the run and give Barkley all the carries he can handle, making this one of my favorite props today.
Pick: Saquon Barkley Over 83.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Bears vs. 49ers
Jauan Jennings Anytime TD (+130)
By Grant Neiffer
Jauan Jennings has been on an absolute tear recently with seven touchdowns in his last seven games, and he's scored in six of those matchups.
George Kittle likely won't end up playing on Sunday night, which only gives more volume and TD equity for Jennings in this spot. Aside from Christian McCaffrey, Jennings leads the team in red zone targets.
I have the true odds for Jennings to score around +100 in this spot, making this another solid EV bet.
