Professional Bettors Targeting Giants-Falcons Over/Under
credit USA Today Sports
- The Atlanta Falcons host the New York Giants on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN).
- The Falcons are listed as 4-point favorites and the game has an over/under of 52.5.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we analyze how professionals are betting tonight's game.
NFL Week 7 wraps up tonight with a prime-time (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN) showdown between two of the leagues’ most disappointing teams: the New York Giants (1-5) and Atlanta Falcons (2-4).
After analyzing the betting tools available at The Action Network and Sports Insights, we’ve identified heavy sharp action on the Monday Night Football over/under, with Pros and Joes on completely different ends of the total spectrum.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Overs have gone 55-51 (51.9%) so far this season. However, unders just posted their best Sunday of the year.
Tonight, recreational bettors are expecting a big bounceback and pounding the Monday Night Football Over. But once again, sharps are zigging while the public zags.
According to The Action Network’s NFL public betting data, the New York-Atlanta over/under opened at 54.
The public isn’t worried about the high total. Average Joes see two putrid defenses (Giants are allowing 27 ppg and Falcons are allowing 32 ppg) and expect an easy over.
However, despite 70% of bets taking the over, the total has fallen from 54 to 52.5. This reverse line movement was caused by sharps hammering the under at GTBets, BetUS and BetOnline.
The under is receiving only 30% of bets but 40% of dollars, further indication of smart money banking on a lower-scoring game.
An added bonus for wiseguy under backers: Tony Corrente is the lead official. Since 2005, unders have gone 90-68 (57%), producing +16.74 units with Corrente as the lead ref.