The NFL Week 15 slate will begin with Thursday Night Football featuring the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers on December 11. Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime.
Our player props for this Thursday Night Football game target David Sills, Bijan Robinson, Kirk Cousins and Bucky Irving.
Let's dive into my Falcons vs Buccaneers player props for Thursday Night Football.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Player Props
- David Sills Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
- Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115; bet365)
- Kirk Cousins Anytime Touchdown (+3000; Hard Rock)
- Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (+120; FanDuel)
Falcons vs Buccaneers Prop Picks, Preview
David Sills Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Only five teams have given up more passing yards per game than the Bucs, who allow an average of 237.8 yards. That means we’ve got to consider taking one of the Falcons’ pass-catchers.
Drake London has been ruled out again. The Bucs also have a decent record against tight ends, so we’ll avoid Kyle Pitts, who is questionable for tonight's game.
David Sills is the player who stands out for me here.
Kirk Cousins has started four games in relief of Michael Penix Jr. for the Falcons this season — and it’s no coincidence that Sills’ four best games in terms of targets come in those matchups.
Sills has 14 targets in four Cousins starts — with that volume, he should be able to do some damage against this Bucs defense.
Pick: David Sills Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
This season, the Buccaneers have been good against the run. In the past month they’ve kept both James Cook and Kyren Williams under 50 rushing yards, so we’ll swerve from that angle for Bijan Robinson despite him averaging 97.2 yards on the ground per game in the past five weeks.
While the Bucs have been great against the run, they are giving up more receiving yards to running backs than any other team in the NFL.
The Bucs allow opposing running backs to put up an average of 53.9 receiving yards on them. That puts us in a great spot with Robinson, who is one of the best pass-catching RBs in the NFL. He’s had 36+ receiving yards in 9-of-13 games this season.
Pick: Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115; bet365)
Kirk Cousins Anytime Touchdown (+3000)
Sometimes you make a bet because it offers value, not that it’s sure-thing to win. This is one of those situations, with the odds on a Kirk Cousins touchdown well worth a small sprinkle.
Cousins has yet to have a rushing touchdown since his days as a Viking, but this could be the perfect opportunity. No team in the league has given up more touchdowns to quarterbacks than the Bucs this season (six in 13 games).
Tyler Shough and Josh Allen have both rushed for touchdowns against them in the past month, and while Cousins isn’t as mobile as them, he’s still worth considering here.
Likewise, Tampa has given up more yards to quarterbacks than any other team. Even Michael Penix Jr. has rushed inside the 20 and scored this season, which happened against the Bucs earlier this season.
Pick: Kirk Cousins Anytime Touchdown (+3000; Hard Rock)
Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (+120)
Getting Bucky Irving at plus money feels like an auto-bet at this point.
He really broke out down the stretch last season and finished with six touchdowns in his final nine games. He’s missed seven games with injury this season, but on either side of that layoff he’s had four touchdowns in just six games, continuing that two touchdowns every three games rate that he had in the second half of last season.
Coming back from injury, he was instantly thrust into a heavy workload with 15+ carries in both games, as well as targets in the passing game, too.
The Falcons are averaging just under one touchdown per game allowed to opposing running backs, with 12 given up in 13 games.
Pick: Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (+120; FanDuel)
Editor's Note: A parlay of these props is not the author's formal recommendation. These picks have value as straight bets.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Player Prop Bets
- David Sills Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
- Bijan Robinson Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115; bet365)
- Kirk Cousins Anytime Touchdown (+3000; Hard Rock)
- Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (+120; FanDuel)
