EDGE

How the Redskins Can Exploit the Saints Defensive Woes, and Where to Find Betting Value

Oct 08, 2018 12:00 AM EDT
  • The New Orleans Saints have struggled defensively after a breakout campaign as a unit in 2017.
  • Here's how the Washington Redskins can exploit those weaknesses on Monday Night Football -- and where to find betting and fantasy football value.

I’ll be leveraging my experience as a fantasy analyst with a statistics background and a high school football coach to identify aspects of one matchup every week that you can take advantage of while setting your fantasy football lineups and/or placing bets on the upcoming slate.

For Week 5, we’re focusing on the upcoming Monday Night Football matchup between the Washington Redskins and New Orleans Saints — namely how Alex Smith and Co. can exploit the Saints’ defensive woes.

A Heavy Dose of Blitzing Worked in 2017, but Not 2018

The Saints defense is led by fourth-year defensive coordinator Dennis Allen, who has tried to make his money by getting after the quarterback and forcing poor throws. New Orleans finished with the fourth-highest blitz percentage on third down last season, according to Pro Football Focus, going after the quarterback on 42% of dropbacks.

Blitzing so often means it’s likely that the Saints are playing a lot of man coverage on the back end. Sending more than four rushers makes it more difficult to cover the field with a zone.

Even if a zone coverage is called, it will play out like man coverage for the defensive backs, who are expecting a quick throw or a sack as a result of the added pressure.

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Credit:

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saints, Redskins players

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
ATL
NYG
-4.5
54
-4
54
WAS
DAL
-1
42
+1
41.5
CHI
NE
+2.5
50
+3
48.5
TB
CLE
-3
49.5
-3.5
51.5
JAC
HOU
-3.5
44
-4
41
NYJ
MIN
+3
47
+3.5
46
SF
LA
+10.5
53
+9.5
52
IND
BUF
-7
42.5
-7
43
LAC
TEN
-7
45.5
-6.5
45
ARI
DEN
+1
41
+1
42
MIA
DET
+2.5
47
+3
46.5
KC
CIN
-6
58.5
-6
58.5
PHI
CAR
-4.5
45
-5
44.5
BAL
NO
-2.5
51
-3
49.5