How the Redskins Can Exploit the Saints Defensive Woes, and Where to Find Betting Value
- The New Orleans Saints have struggled defensively after a breakout campaign as a unit in 2017.
- Here's how the Washington Redskins can exploit those weaknesses on Monday Night Football -- and where to find betting and fantasy football value.
I’ll be leveraging my experience as a fantasy analyst with a statistics background and a high school football coach to identify aspects of one matchup every week that you can take advantage of while setting your fantasy football lineups and/or placing bets on the upcoming slate.
For Week 5, we’re focusing on the upcoming Monday Night Football matchup between the Washington Redskins and New Orleans Saints — namely how Alex Smith and Co. can exploit the Saints’ defensive woes.
A Heavy Dose of Blitzing Worked in 2017, but Not 2018
The Saints defense is led by fourth-year defensive coordinator Dennis Allen, who has tried to make his money by getting after the quarterback and forcing poor throws. New Orleans finished with the fourth-highest blitz percentage on third down last season, according to Pro Football Focus, going after the quarterback on 42% of dropbacks.
Blitzing so often means it’s likely that the Saints are playing a lot of man coverage on the back end. Sending more than four rushers makes it more difficult to cover the field with a zone.
Even if a zone coverage is called, it will play out like man coverage for the defensive backs, who are expecting a quick throw or a sack as a result of the added pressure.