- The Seahawks opened as 10-point underdogs in Week 10 against the Rams (Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET).
- Russell Wilson has never been more than a 7.5-point dog in his career.
- Wilson has historically fared very well when opening as more than a 3-point dog, going 10-1 against the spread.
The mighty Rams have fallen, unable to contain the Saints’ offense in the Superdome. Though their bid at an undefeated season is over, the Rams are still making history as the season presses onward.
In Week 8, Aaron Rodgers closed as the largest underdog in his regular-season career while visiting Los Angeles to play the Rams.
This weekend, Russell Wilson will almost surely be in the same boat when the Seahawks head to La-La Land.
This is the first time in Wilson’s career that he’s opened as a double-digit dog, and he’s never closed higher than +7.5. If you look at the table, you’ll see that he’s done incredibly well in these situations, going 10-1 against the spread (ATS) and 8-3 straight up (SU).
The only time he hasn’t covered in this spot was in 2017 NFL Playoffs against the Atlanta Falcons.
To my surprise, Wilson has never received the majority of spread bets in any of these games. With the Rams losing last week, I’m interested to see whether bettors will take Wilson plus all of those points.
The Rams are now 4-4-1 ATS this year, while Seattle is 4-3-1.