The Ultimate Week 2 AAF Betting Guide: Don’t Sleep on the San Antonio Commanders

Feb 16, 2019 11:45 PM EST
Credit:

Courtesy of @aafcommanders/Twitter. Pictured: San Antonio QB Logan Woodside

  • Ian Hartitz previews all four games in our Week 2 AAF betting preview, including the Orlando Apollos at San Antonio Commanders.
  • Get the latest betting market information, analysis of key matchups, fantasy advice, picks for each game and more.

We’ve made it to Week 2 of the Alliance of American Football, people. Let’s party.

There’s a fine line between too little and too much coverage of such an amazing niche sport, and we at Action Network fully plan on wrestling that line to the gates of hell.

What follows is an all encompassing Week 2 preview featuring betting odds, trends, key matchups, injuries, daily fantasy edge and betting pick(s) for all four games.

And if that’s not enough, we also have this lineup of comprehensive coverage:

Now let’s dig into all four of this weekend’s games.

Betting Odds: Salt Lake Stallions at Birmingham Iron

  • Spread: Birmingham -7.5
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET on Saturday
  • TV: TNT

Betting market: The Iron have moved to 7.5-point favorites since opening at 6.5, while the over/under has sunk two full points.

Birmingham entered the season with the worst odds to win the championship and now finds itself favored by more than a touchdown against a solid Salt Lake squad that played Arizona fairly tight in Week 1.

Week 1 Takeaways

Salt Lake’s 38-22 Loss to Arizona

  • The Stallions were within three points of the Hotshots at halftime before Josh Woodrum (hamstring) was lost for the game. Backup quarterback Matt Linehan averaged only 4.3 yards per attempt with a 54% completion in relief while alleged No. 1 receiver Kenny Bell played a team-high 61 snaps but failed to catch any of his three targets.
  • Salt Lake deployed a fairly underwhelming three-headed backfield featuring Joel Bouagnon (16 carries, 39 yards), Branden Oliver (8 carries, 40 yards) and Matt Asiata (4 carries, 3 targets, 4 yards, 1 TD).
  • The good news for the Stallions’ rushing attack is Salt Lake has one of the league’s largest offensive lines. Each starting guard and tackle is at least 6-foot-4 and weighs at least 315 pounds.

Birmingham’s 26-0 Win Over Memphis 26-0

  • Luis Perez averaged a robust 7.6 yards per attempt last week, but he was plagued by a league-high five drops. Quinton Patton (4 receptions-107 yards-0 TD) was responsible for three of those miscues, although Perez still fed Patton a team-high nine targets.
  • Trent Richardson racked up a week-high 24 touches, although it’s tough to ask for better game flow. Backup Ladarius Perkins actually played over Richardson in two-minute situations and wound up catching 6-of-8 targets for 36 yards to complement his five carries for 13 yards on the ground.
  • The Birmingham secondary completely shut down Christian Hackenberg and Co. Cornerback Jamar Summers stood out the most, earning AAF Team of the Week honors from Pro Football Focus for his performance.

Which team is healthier? Salt Lake

Practice and injury reports are pretty difficult to come by in this new league, but we’ll do our best to update these sections as more information becomes available.

The Stallions have the game’s most important injury to watch, as starting quarterback Josh Woodrum (hamstring) is considered a game time decision and wasn’t able to practice until Friday. The rest of their passing game is also fairly banged up, as wide receivers Dres Anderson (hamstring, out), Jordan Leslie (hamstring, questionable), Kenny Bell (thigh, questionable) and Kaelin Clay (hand, doubtful) are far from 100%.

Meanwhile, Iron tight end Braedon Bowman was placed on the injured reserve list earlier this week and wide receiver Amba Etta-Tawo (knee) isn’t expected to suit up on Saturday. Trent Williams (hamstring) missed an early-week practice, but managed to return to a limited practice on Friday and is questionable. Tight end Cole Hunt is also questionable, but managed to get in a full practice on Friday.

Key matchup: Luis Perez vs. Salt Lake’s secondary

The Stallions surrendered week-high marks in yards per attempt (9.5), passing yards (275) and passing touchdowns (4) to Arizona last week. John Wolford and the Hotshots’ up-tempo scheme deserve plenty of credit, but the Salt Lake secondary hasn’t exactly earned the benefit of the doubt.

Meanwhile, Perez already looks like one of the league’s top four quarterbacks thanks to his willingness to hang in the pocket under pressure and take chances downfield.

DFS edge: Ladarius Perkins

The fine folks at FanBall provide daily fantasy contests for the AAF featuring lineups that must include one quarterback, one running back, one wide receiver and three flexes.