Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Texans defensive end J.J. Watt (99) and linebacker Jadeveon Clowney (90).
Betting odds: Houston Texans at Washington Redskins
- Spread: Texans -3
- Over/Under: 42.5
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
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Betting market: Just 32% of bettors are on the Redskins, who have gone from -2 to -3 since opening. This line has moved back and forth a few times between 2.5 and 3, with sharp action coming in on both Houston -2.5 and Washington +3.
Trends to know: Houston is coming off a bye week, which should give it extra time to get healthy, practice and prepare. According to our Bet Labs data, teams coming off a bye week are 238-206-14 (54%) against the spread since 2003.
Road favorites after a bye have been even more profitable: 58-26-2 (69%) ATS. — John Ewing
The Washington Redskins are simply playing a different game than every other team. They are averaging 19.6 PPG (27th) and allowing 19.4 PPG (T-fourth) this season.
Since 2003, teams scoring fewer than 20 PPG and allowing fewer than 20 PPG are 240-181-4 (57%) to the over when playing at home, profiting bettors 46.5 units.
When that home team has seen at least 60% of its games go under the total entering a game in this spot, the over is 144-93-3 (60.8%), covering by an average of three points in a 250-game sample size. — Evan Abrams