Jaguars-Bills Betting Preview: Behold the Lowest Over/Under of the Season


Kevin Jairaj, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Josh Allen

Nov 25, 2018, 07:21 AM EST

Betting odds: Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills

  • Spread: Jaguars -3
  • Over/Under: 37
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Saturday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Buffalo has received multiple waves of sharp action at +4 and +3 vs. the Jaguars. Who would’ve thunk it?

Though Jacksonville is receiving more than 60% of bets at the time of writing, they’ve fallen from -4 to -3 since opening.

Buffalo is receiving more than half of spread dollars thus far (see live betting data here). — Mark Gallant

Did you know? The Jags-Bills over/under of 37 is the lowest in the 2018 season. In the past three seasons, there have been 58 regular season games that closed with an over/under of fewer than 40 points. The over went 29-29 in those games. — John Ewing

Trends to know: Since 2003, games with a total below 40 in November or later are 263-226-5 (53.8%) to the over, but when one of the teams in the game is averaging fewer than 14 points per game, the under is actually 49-41-1 (54.4%), flipping the script on the trend over a large sample size. — Evan Abrams

The Jaguars have lost six in a row,  which is currently the longest active losing streak in the NFL. Since 2010, only three teams have lost six consecutive games after making the playoffs the previous season and were listed as the favorite:

  • 2015 Cowboys (-1) at Buccaneers: Lost, 10-6
  • 2013 Texans (-10.5) vs. Raiders: Lost, 28-23
  • 2010 Bengals (-4) vs. Bills: Lost, 49-31 — Evan Abrams