Dolphins-Patriots Betting Preview: Will Tom Brady Really Lose 3 Straight?


USA Today Sports. Pictured: Danny Amendola, Tom Brady

Sep 30, 2018, 07:59 AM EDT

Betting odds: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

  • Spread: Patriots -6.5
  • Over/Under: 48
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: For the first few days of the week, spread bets were split just about 50/50. The Patriots had moved from -7 to -6.5 late Sunday night and have since remained there, but bettors have grown tired of New England.

At the time of writing, the Pats were down to just 43% of spread bets (see live data here), which is the lowest support they’ve received since Jacoby Brissett led them to a 27-0 win over the Texans in September 2016.

It’s also the lowest Tom Brady has received since November 2013, when Peyton Manning and the Broncos visited New England as a 1-point dog. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Patriots have now dropped two straight for the first time since the end of the 2015 season. Brady has only lost three consecutive starts straight up once: In 2002, when the Pats lost four in a row and finished 9-7 (that season was also the last time New England failed to hit the 10-win mark).

According to our Bet Labs data, Brady is 7-2 SU and 6-3 against the spread coming off of consecutive SU losses.  — Evan Abrams

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