The 2025-26 NFL season has reached its final chapter, and an unlikely rematch is set for Levi’s Stadium. On February 8, Super Bowl 60 will see the Seattle Seahawks face off against the New England Patriots—exactly 11 years after their legendary clash in Super Bowl 49.
Prediction market Kalshi has odds posted for the most likely winners of Super Bowl LX, and we're sharing them below.
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Live Super Bowl 60 Odds at Kalshi
See the latest Kalshi odds for the winner of Super Bowl LX. Odds are via Kalshi and update every hour.
The Path to Santa Clara
Neither team was a preseason favorite; early odds placed Seattle at 60-1 and New England at 80-1.
Seattle (16-3) stormed the NFC behind a "career-year" performance from Sam Darnold and a defense dubbed "The Dark Side," which led the league in points allowed. Meanwhile, the Patriots (17-3) completed a rapid rebuild under Mike Vrabel. Led by breakout rookie Drake Maye, New England’s defense has been even stingier in the postseason, allowing just 8.7 points per game.
Why Seattle is Favored
Seattle holds the edge due to their statistical dominance. They finished the regular season #1 in scoring defense and #4 in scoring offense. Traders are also factoring in "geographic momentum"—Santa Clara is a short trip for the "12th Man," while the Patriots must travel across the country.
What Could Move the Market?
With Sunday fast approaching, expect the split to fluctuate based on:
The "Darnold Factor": Sam Darnold led the NFL in giveaways during the regular season. Any news regarding his composure or health could see New England’s price fluctuate.
Sharp Money: Professional traders often wait until 24–48 hours before kickoff to take large positions, which could tighten the gap.
Injury Reports: Monitoring the status of Seattle’s backfield after losing Zach Charbonnet earlier in the playoffs remains crucial for those holding "Yes" contracts.
