Simulating New England’s Super Bowl Chances With and Without Gronk
The New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles will meet in Minneapolis for Super Bowl 52. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick had to overcome a 10-point fourth quarter deficit, but the Pats are headed back to the Super Bowl for a second straight year and third in the past four seasons. The NFC Championship wasn’t nearly as dramatic, as the Eagles dominated the Minnesota Vikings. Philly is back in the big game for the first time since facing the Patriots in Super Bowl 39.
The Patriots opened as consensus 6-point favorites, the line has been bet down to New England -5 with a majority of spread dollars on the Eagles. Each team has matchup advantages they can exploit on Super Sunday, but which squad will be crowned the new NFL champion?
To find out we simulated the Super Bowl 10,000 times, using player and team statistics adjusted for strength of schedule.
And the winner is…