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Chargers-Broncos Betting Preview: Back an LA Team Vying for AFC’s No. 1 Seed?

Dec 28, 2018 2:52 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Phillip Rivers, Von Miller

Betting odds: Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

  • Spread: Chargers -6.5
  • Over/Under: 42
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: The Chargers opened as 4-point favorites and have attracted steady money throughout the week.

Behind 70% of tickets and 73% of dollars wagered on the spread as of writing (see live data here), Los Angeles has moved to a 6.5-point favorite against Denver. PJ Walsh

Trends to know: It’s not been profitable to follow line movement in Week 17. Teams that have seen the line move at least one point in their direction, like with the Chargers, have gone 57-68-4 against the spread since 2003. John Ewing

Playoff picture: The Chargers need to win to have a chance at jumping from the 5-seed to the 1-seed in the AFC. And even if they win, they’d need either a Chiefs loss or tie. Scott T. Miller

Draft order: Denver’s three consecutive losses have helped catapult the Broncos up the draft board. They now hold the No. 12 pick, and will be cheering for Jacksonville, Atlanta and Carolina to win. Scott T. Miller

Did you know? Since 2003, teams that have won at least 70% of their games (like the Chargers) have struggled on the road ATS over the final two weeks of the regular season, going 39-55-2 (41.%) ATS — including 11-19 (36.7%) over the past five years — failing to cover by 3.4 points per game. —  Evan Abrams