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Saints-Cowboys TNF Betting Preview: Is This Spread Too High?

Nov 30, 2018 7:30 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara

Betting odds: New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys

  • Spread: Saints -7.5
  • Over/Under: 52.5
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX/NFL Network/Amazon Prime

>> All odds as of Wednesday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: At the time of writing this game has the classic 70/30 betting split, with the majority on the Saints (see live data here).

Though the public is all over red hot New Orleans, sharp bettors have been eating up the Cowboys plus the hook at home. We’ve tracked seven bet signals on Dallas at +7.5, but they are still available at +7.5 or +8 at many books.

The over/under, which opened at 54.5, has dropped two points despite just 20% of the bets on the under. —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: This is the first time the Cowboys have been listed as underdogs of seven or more points since Week 5 of the 2015 season (+8 vs. Patriots). And it’s the fifth time since 2003 that Dallas has been a home dog of seven or more points. In the previous four games the Cowboys went 0-4 straight up and 2-2 against the spread. — John Ewing

Under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys have struggled as favorites, going 31-45-2 ATS, but have been good to bettors as underdogs: 33-22-1 ATS, per our Bet Labs data.

As dogs of more than a field goal under Garrett the Cowboys are 20-9 ATS. — John Ewing

Home teams on Thursday Night Football have been a great bet over the past few seasons.