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NFL Pick’Em Picks: Ranking Week 1 Against the Spread & Straight Up Pool Pick Options

NFL Pick’Em Picks: Ranking Week 1 Against the Spread & Straight Up Pool Pick Options article feature image

Cody Glenn/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: 49ers mascot

To help you make your first pick’em decisions of the 2021 NFL season, I’ve ranked Week 1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) picks by confidence.

These rankings are based on my power ratings, which help power our NFL PRO Projections — they account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds.


Week 1 NFL Pick ‘Em Pool Rankings


Conf Team Opp Win Prob%
T-1 Buccaneers vs. DAL 75%
T-1 49ers @ DET 75%
3 Rams vs. CHI 74%
4 Bills vs. PIT 72%
5 Chiefs vs. CLE 69%
6 Packers @ NO 66%
7 Panthers vs. NYJ 65%
8 Ravens @ LV 65%
9 Falcons vs. PHI 60%
10 Titans vs. ARI 59%
T-11 Jaguars @ HOU 58%
T-11 Vikings @ CIN 58%
T-11 Broncos @ NYG 58%
T-11 Seahawks @ IND 58%
15 Patriots vs. MIA 57%
16 Football Team vs. LAC 54%
17 Chargers @ WAS 46%
18 Dolphins @ NE 43%
T-19 Colts vs. SEA 42%
T-19 Giants vs. DEN 42%
T-19 Bengals vs. MIN 42%
T-19 Texans vs. JAX 42%
23 Cardinals @ TEN 41%
24 Eagles @ ATL 40%
T-25 Raiders vs. BAL 35%
T-26 Jets @ CAR 35%
27 Saints vs. GB 34%
28 Browns @ KC 31%
29 Steelers @ BUF 28%
30 Bears @ LAR 26%
T-31 Lions vs. SF 25%
T-31 Cowboys @ TB 25%

Ranking Week 1 Spread Picks

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.

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