Best Super Bowl Squares For Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: The Numbers You Want for Each Quarter
- What Super Bowl squares do you want for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers? We did the math.
- Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, used his projections to calculate win probabilities for each square.
- Find out which numbers you want for every quarter and the full game.
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, simulated Super Bowl 55 10,000 times to determine the likelihood of each square winning in each quarter and the overall optimal numbers for your pool.
Best Super Bowl Squares
The best Super Bowl squares are exactly what you’d expect: Combinations of 0s, 3s and 7s — aka numbers common in football between field goals (3) and touchdowns (7) and the two combined (10).
Before we run through each quarter, here are the best overall numbers:
Best 1Q Numbers
There’s no surprise that in the first quarter, 0-0 is the square with the highest probability of winning, followed by combinations of 0s, 3s and 7s.
Variance increases as a game progresses, so probabilities for the first quarter are more “straight forward” than for the final score.
Best 2Q Numbers
The best numbers for the second quarter are still combinations of 0s and 7s, but their probabilities do decrease relative to the first quarter.
Best 3Q Numbers
The third quarter isn’t all that different from the second, though 3s continue to decline since those are less likely after teams cross 13 points.
Best Final Score Numbers
The biggest change over the course of the game is the rise of 8 — it’s more likely that a team has 28 or 38 points by the end of the game than at any previous point.