Bucs-Bears Betting Preview: How Sharps See the Over/Under

Credit:

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ryan Fitzpatrick

Sep 30, 2018, 07:44 AM EDT

Betting odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

  • Spread: Bears -3
  • Over/Under: 46.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: A large discrepancy between bets and dollars helps explain the movement on the over/under.

The under is getting 53% of bets compared to 82% of dollars as of writing (see live data here), which has resulted in a move from 47 to 46.5. Mark Gallant


Should bettors trust the Bears? Chicago has won two in a row, but each win was decided by one score. History is not on the Bears’ side when it comes to covering in this spot.

According to our Bet Labs data, teams — such as Chicago — that failed to make the playoffs the season before have been good candidates to fade in the first half of the season when they jump out to a winning record and are favored. John Ewing


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