The Cleveland Browns (3-10) and Chicago Bears (9-4) will face off in Week 15 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. The game will broadcast live on FOX.
The Bears are 7.5-point favorites over the Browns on the spread (Bears -7.5), with the over/under set at 38 total points. Chicago is a -380 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Cleveland is +300 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Browns vs Bears predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday, December 14.
Browns vs Bears Prediction, Picks
- Browns vs Bears pick: Browns +7.5 (-110)
My Bears vs. Browns best bet is on Cleveland to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. However, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Browns vs Bears Odds for NFL Week 15
| Browns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 38 -110o / -110u | +300 |
| Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 38 -110o / -110u | -380 |
Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears NFL Preview
It’s going to be freezing in Chicago today, with temperature expected to be around -10 degrees.
This is going to be a run-heavy game, possibly a low-scoring one as well. It’s also a tough spot for the Bears, with this game sandwiched between huge matchups against their rival Packers, which will likely determine their chances of winning the NFC North and making the playoffs.
The Bears will still show up here because they need this game, but all the pressure is on them and I could see them coming out a little flat.
The Bears’ turnover regression is coming at some point. Caleb Williams has gotten away with some errant throws. Their defense isn’t going to keep getting two or three turnovers every single week — they lead the league in takeaways by a wide margin.
If you remove turnovers, the Bears defense is 31st in EPA per play. Kyler Gordon is hurt again. Jaylon Johnson still doesn’t look right. Their secondary isn’t fully healthy, and they struggle to generate pressure.
In a game where both teams want to run the ball, the Browns defense ranks first in rush success rate allowed; the Bears rank 28th.
Now, you might point to the Titans last week — and yes, it’s a concern — but is Malik Collins suddenly Aaron Donald on steroids? Is he that valuable? I can’t say the entire run defense collapses because he’s out. He’s good, but not that good.
I still believe the Browns have the better run defense in this game.
Where it gets scary is on offense. Shedeur Sanders has looked better than expected — and luckily, the Bears don’t get pressure, which should help alleviate the sack issues.
The Browns are going to throw short passes, feed my guy Harold Fannin Jr., and try to run — and you can run on the Bears.
The Browns are also coming off two misleading final scores. They outgained the Titans by about 120 yards, and they got extremely unlucky against the 49ers via special teams mistakes and botched fourth downs. The yards and yards per play numbers were basically even in that game.
And now we’re saying Bears -7.5? This number is too high. It should be under a touchdown.
However, the Browns potentially have some offensive line injuries. This is my biggest concern. The defense has some injuries too, but they should get Denzel Ward back, who is expected to play through a calf issue.
The offensive line situation is bleak though. I really hope Jack Conklin plays. This might be their 12th different offensive line combo because the center just went on IR. They might not even be able to run because of that. But again, this Bears defense is not good.
And I love this Bears team. I’ve got futures on them: division, win total over and to make the playoffs. But look at who they’ve beaten and how:
- Beat the Steelers at home by 3 with Mason Rudolph (as 2.5-point favorites)
- Beat the Giants by 4 after trailing
- Beat the Bengals by 5 after trailing
- Beat the Commanders by 1
- Beat the Raiders by 1
This Bears' team doesn’t blow out anyone. They hardly ever win by margin.
Browns vs Bears Betting Predictions, Analysis
This sucks. I don’t want to do this, but I have to take the Browns to cover. I make the spread for this game less than -7.
I’m sure the Bears will win, and if the Browns somehow have a chance to win, they’ll probably go for two and botch the play to protect their draft positioning — but the spread should still be less than seven points.
In the freezing cold, in a run-heavy game, I trust the Browns run defense much more.
Browns vs Bears Best Bet
- Browns +7.5 (-110)
Browns vs Bears Betting Trends
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