Broncos-Jets Betting Preview: Will Denver Bounce Back on the Road?

Broncos-Jets Betting Preview: Will Denver Bounce Back on the Road? article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Denver Broncos linebacker Von Miller (58) before the game against the Oakland Raiders at Broncos Stadium at Mile High.

Betting odds: Denver Broncos at New York Jets

  • Spread: PK
  • Over/Under: 42.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: After the Jets opened as 2-point favorites, the line quickly moved to 2.5. Since then, though, it’s been all Denver action, as the game is down to a PK at the time of writing (see the updated lines here).

The Broncos are getting more than 70% of bets and dollars and could close as the favorite unless the Jets start getting some sharp backing. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The over/under is 42.5, one of the lowest in Week 5. In low-total (44 or fewer points) non-division games, where wind less than 10 mph, the over has gone 624-508-21 (55%) since 2003 per Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

Under coach Vance Joseph, the Broncos have been the worst road teams in football, and it really hasn’t been close.

Denver is 1-8 straight up and against the spread on the road under Joseph, the least profitable road team against the spread (-7 units).

Denver is 0-9 against the first-half spread on the road, failing to cover by 9.1 PPG. — Evan Abrams

Denver is 2-13-1 ATS in its past 16 games and now must travel to New York on a short week after a heartbreaking loss to its division rival. Horrible situational spot.Stuckey

Which team is healthier? Jets

The Broncos were without starting right tackle Jared Veldheer (knee), linebacker Todd Davis (shoulder), defensive end Adam Gotsis (knee) and punter Marquette King (thigh) to start the week.

The only Jets who failed to practice Wednesday were tight end Neal Sterling and backup receiver Charone Peake.

The key injury to monitor is Von Miller (thigh), who was limited in practice Wednesday.

Note: Info as of 6 p.m. ET Thursday. See our Injury Dashboard for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff. — Ian Hartitz

Biggest mismatch: Broncos defensive line vs. Jets offensive line

Jets QB Sam Darnold has been pressured 53 times this season, the seventh-highest mark in the league, and he’s set to take on a Broncos defense that ranks top 10 in hurries (46), hits (38) and pressures (52).

Moreover, Darnold has taken 10 sacks and has thrown two interceptions when under pressure this season. The Broncos defense possesses the fourth-best floor projection in the FantasyLabs Player Models. — Justin Bailey

Bet to watch: Broncos PK

Sure, the letdown spot is a concern, but the Broncos showed us what they are capable of last week by slowing down Patrick Mahomes and the high powered Chiefs offense for most of their Monday Night showdown.

They were also able to run the ball incredibly well with Patrick Lindsay and Royce Freeman.

If this team is at even 60% of that effort, it should have no trouble beating the Jets. Darnold has looked a little lost of late, and this Broncos defense will do him no favors.

I’m banking on the Broncos to rebound off two losses and get their season back on track. — BlackJack Fletcher


Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.