Rams-Seahawks Betting Preview: Seattle Getting No Love as a Home Underdog


USA Today Sports. Pictured: Aaron Donald, Russell Wilson

Oct 07, 2018, 11:55 PM EDT

Betting odds: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks

  • Spread: Rams -7.5
  • Over/Under: 50.5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: With 77% of bets, the Rams are the most popular bet on the board at the time of writing (you can find live numbers here).

Despite the impressive support, books had been reluctant to move LA to -7.5 for much of the week, but late Thursday/early Friday, some books did just that.

Expect some sharps to pounce on the +7.5; that a pretty darn big home dog for a team that isn’t totally incompetent.Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Home underdogs of seven or more points have gone 137-111-5 (55%) against the spread since 2003, according to Bet Labs. However, there are strong splits in this trend.

From 2003 to 2011, these large home underdogs were 94-68-4 (58%) ATS, but from 2012 to 2018 wagering on such teams has been a 50/50 proposition: 43-43-1 ATS.John Ewing

This marks the first time in Russell Wilson’s career that he opened as larger than a 4.5-point home underdog, which he did against the Patriots in 2012.

Wilson has never closed above a 3.5-point home dog and only four times in his career has he closed as a 3-point home dog.

Wilson is 4-0 straight up and ATS is those games, covering by 12.5 PPG. — Evan Abrams

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