Titans-Bills Betting Preview: Is Tennessee Primed for a Letdown?

Oct 07, 2018 11:40 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Marcus Mariota

Betting odds: Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills

  • Spread: Titans -5
  • Over/Under: 39.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: When the Bills were only getting 3.5 points, every bettor was naturally fading them. Well, not every bettor, but 70% of them.

I guess this is a “what have you done for me lately” type of deal, as memories of Buffalo’s annihilation of Minnesota have quickly been replaced by their shutout at the hands of the Packers. The line has since moved to Bills +5 (see live betting data here). —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Titans have now won three consecutive games all as underdogs, including their last win with Marcus Mariota back under center.

Mariota is 9-11 straight up and 5-14-1 against the spread the week after an outright win, failing to cover the spread by more than a TD per game.

Since Mariota was drafted by the Titans in 2015, no QB has been worse ATS off a SU win. — Evan Abrams

Not only can you sell the Titans high after three straight wins as underdogs, you can also buy the Bills low after getting shutout on the road in Green Bay.

Per BetLabs, since 2003, home dogs coming off a game when they scored three points or fewer have gone 44-26-2 (62.9%) ATS for an impressive 21.5% ROI.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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