Vikings-Eagles Betting Preview: Will Minnesota Get Revenge for NFC Title Game?

Oct 07, 2018 11:52 PM EDT
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz

Betting odds: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles

  • Spread: Eagles -3
  • Over/Under: 46.5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This game is split in terms of bets and dollars — the line movement, or lack thereof, reflects that.

The Eagles have remained a three-point favorite since opening (you can find updated lines here), and although the juice was up in the -125 territory for some time, it has since moved back down to -120.

The over has received a crazy 90% of bets so far and has moved from 44.5 to 46.5 since opening. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Entering Week 5, the Vikings and Cardinals both have a negative against the spread differential of a touchdown or more. According to our Bet Labs data, teams matching that criteria since 2005 cover at a rate of 55.3% against the first half spread when listed as an underdog, profiting bettors 31 total units.Evan Abrams

Seven NFL teams are currently scoring fewer than 21 points per game entering Week 5, but only three of those seven teams are also allowing fewer than 21 PPG: Titans, Cowboys and Eagles (Tennessee and Dallas are on the road in Week 5).

Consider these nuggets …

  • When a team scoring and allowing fewer than 21 PPG plays at home in October or later, the over is 260-221-5 (54.1%).
  • When that home team is .500 or better, the over is 153-123-5 (55.4%, 7.8% ROI)
  • When the game is between non-divisional opponents, the over is 172-128-4 (57.3%, 11.5% ROI)
  • When that home team made the playoffs the season prior, the over is 62-38 (62%, 20.9% ROI). — Evan Abrams

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