The Boston Red Sox host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NESN and SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers enter as -132 moneyline favorites with the game total set at 10.5.
Find my Dodgers vs Red Sox prediction in my Sunday MLB betting preview below.
My Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction
- Dodgers vs Red Sox pick: Dodgers Moneyline (-132, play to -145)
My Dodgers vs Red Sox best bet is the Dodgers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Red Sox Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +118 | 10.5 -107o / -113u | -132 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -143 | 10.5 -107o / -113u | +109 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Dustin May (LAD) | Stat | RHP Walker Buehler (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 6-6 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.4 |
| 4.73 / 4.84 | ERA / xERA | 5.72 / 5.10 |
| 4.72 / 4.36 | FIP / xFIP | 5.67 / 4.10 |
| 1.36 | WHIP | 1.52 |
| 2.1 | K-BB% | 1.9 |
| 44.2% | GB% | 45.3% |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 96 | Location+ | 94 |
Sean Paul’s Dodgers vs Red Sox Preview
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Walker Buehler will get his first taste of revenge against his former club after leaving the Dodgers for the Red Sox over the offseason.
Buehler's first season in Boston has been a total nightmare — he has a 5.72 ERA, a 5.10 xERA, and a 5.67 FIP entering Sunday. The underlying numbers are worrisome as is, but more concerning are his per-nine numbers.
The veteran righty is striking out just 7.09 batters per nine (career worst), is walking a career-high 3.81 per nine, and allowing 1.80 homers per nine. Plus, his WHIP is 1.52. And since he can't put hitters away via the strikeout, innings tend to run longer, and it leads to some ugly results.
Sure, you can come away encouraged by Buehler allowing three or fewer runs in three straight outings. Should you be, though? Probably not.
He struck out eight hitters in those 18 innings and allowed 7+ baserunners in each outing. Good luck doing that against the Dodgers.
The Red Sox bats haven't quite arrived from the All-Star break. They scored two or fewer runs in five of their eight games since returning from the break.
Also, it would make sense if Alex Bregman didn't start in the series finale. He hurt his quad and expedited his recovery, but he's still less than 100%. Boston is avoiding playing him three straight games for now. He sat in the finale of the Cubs and Phillies series, and he'd leave a massive hole in the middle of a lineup that has a 58 wRC+ over the last week.
When Boston won 10 straight games ahead of the All-Star break, it was Ceddane Rafaela who was stealing the show. Nobody could sit him down for a whole two weeks. But he's back down to earth, hitting .222 since the break.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
I'd be lying if I tried to make Dustin May sound good. He's had a rough season in what's been his first full non-injured MLB season, posting a 4.71 ERA with a 4.84 xERA and 4.72 FIP.
While he pitched well in two of his last three outings, it's tough to trust him. His underlying numbers don't quell any worries, but he strikes out 8.3 batters per nine. That's better than Buehler, at least, and May still has good stuff.
Offensively, the Dodgers aren't the juggernaut most expected them to be, but I have trust in them turning things around. They rank 16th in MLB with 105 wRC+ since the All-Star break concluded.
Shohei Ohtani is finally getting help, as Will Smith, Andy Pages and Freddie Freeman each have a wRC+ better than 140 in their last eight games.
The bottom of the order is more of an issue. It's hard to trust Esteury Ruiz, Tommy Edman, or virtually anyone else at the bottom of L.A.'s lineup. But it won't matter as much if the top of the order takes care of business against a pitcher who doesn't have very good stuff.
This Dodgers offense is much better than we've seen, and it feels like the market is at a total low point on them. It's fair given their recent results, but people talked about this team winning 110 games with a historically good offense. With Teoscar Hernandez getting hot again, it'll be tough for Buehler to navigate through that top five.
Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
I like the Dodgers moneyline up to -145. Buehler is as fade-worthy as it gets, and his former team should turn this reunion into a gloomy one.
Boston is one team that can make May look like the prospect he was once cracked out to be. In the past eight games, the Red Sox are punching out an MLB-worst 30.4% of the time. They have no shortage of free swingers, which plays to May's advantage with his sweeper that he throws almost half the time.
Pick: Dodgers ML (-132, play to -145)
Moneyline
I'm going with the Dodgers.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no play on the Dodgers run line.
Over/Under
I have no play on the game total.
