Detroit is down 2-1 to Orlando, and statistically, they're basically playing for their season tonight.
In a game as meaningful as this one, we aren't just looking for standard lines — we’re looking for the "ceiling" performances. That’s where the ladder pick comes in. If you think a player might go way over their line, you bet their standard over, then "ladder" up into alternate territories (25+, 30+, 35+) for a higher payout.
Today, I'm targeting Pistons sharpshooter Duncan Robinson.
Pistons vs Magic Props for Game 4
- Duncan Robinson 3+ Three-Pointers Made (-118)
- Duncan Robinson 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+201)
- Duncan Robinson 5+ Three-Pointers Made (+453)
Duncan Robinson Three-Pointers Ladder
We're back to Duncan Robinson.He continues to get the attempts for multiple reasons.
For one, the Pistons' lack of shooting magnifies how much they need Robinson's spacing — and two, as Matt Moore noted on Buckets, the Magic are really focused on neutralizing Jalen Duren, and they have so far. They really don't need to alter this strategy until the Pistons' shooting comes around.
So, in order to activate that turnaround, they need Robinson (and Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, and maybe you, Daniss Jenkins) to get going. But for now, Robinson is getting the looks and the volume. He has gone over 2.5 makes in all three games this series on 6, 7, and 8 attempts, respectively. However, he has made exactly three in all of these games.
The ladder is still worth a sprinkle for all the reasons above, but at a minimum, I'll position myself (again) for the bulk of my play to be on the over 2.5 threes.
Fonseca's Prop Ladder for Pistons vs Magic Game 4
- Duncan Robinson 3+ Three-Pointers Made (-118)
- Duncan Robinson 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+201)
- Duncan Robinson 5+ Three-Pointers Made (+453)
