The NCAA Tournament officially begins tonight, which means there are tons of Kalshi First Four markets to make predictions on.
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March Madness First Four games start today, Tuesday, March 17, 2026. In addition to the slate of games this evening, trade on Kalshi First Four markets Wednesday, March 18, 2026. Read on to learn about the First Four Kalshi odds for March Madness.
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Kalshi First Four Markets: Schedule of Games
Before I give you specific Kalshi First Four markets, it's important to know the games you're predicting. Here are all four of the First Four March Madness games, along with their TV information:
- UMBC vs. Howard (Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. ET on truTV)
- Texas vs. NC State (Tuesday, 9:10 p.m. ET on truTV)
- Prairie View A&M vs. Lehigh (Wednesday, 6:40 p.m. ET on truTV)
- Miami OH vs. SMU (Wednesday, 9:10 p.m. ET on truTV)
Kalshi First Four Markets: Game Winners
Take a look at the table below to see Kalshi First Four markets for the winner of each game. As the chart indicates, UMBC vs. Howard and Texas vs. NC State are the two tightest projected March Madness First Four games.
| Game | Game Winner Kalshi First Four Markets |
|---|---|
| UMBC vs. Howard | UMBC 51% chance (1.83x) | Howard 40% chance (1.97x) |
| Texas vs. NC State | Texas 50% chance (1.90x) | NC State 50% chance (1.90x) |
| Prairie View A&M vs. Lehigh | Prairie View A&M 41% chance (2.34x) | Lehigh 59% chance (1.60x) |
| Miami OH vs. SMU | Miami OH 29% chance (3.28x) | SMU 71% chance (1.34x) |
Kalshi First Four Markets: Winning Margins
In addition to Kalshi First Four markets on the game winner, the winning margin is another fun market to make predictions on. SMU is the biggest projected favorite, while Howard and Lehigh are slight favorites in their respective games.
| Game | Winning Margin Kalshi First Four Markets |
|---|---|
| UMBC vs. Howard | Howard wins by over 1.5 points YES (2.09x) | NO (1.76x) |
| Texas vs. NC State | Texas wins by over 3.5 points YES (2.29x) | NO (1.62x) |
| Prairie View vs. Lehigh | Lehigh wins by over 2.5 points YES (1.73x) | NO (2.05x) |
| Miami OH vs. SMU | SMU wins by over 6.5 points YES (1.90x) | NO (1.93x) |
Kalshi First Four Markets: Total Points
The final batch of Kalshi First Four markets I have for you relates to the total number of points scored in each game. Miami OH vs. SMU is anticipated to be the highest scoring of all March Madness First Four games, while UMBC vs. Howard is the lowest.
| Game | Total Points Kalshi First Four Markets |
|---|---|
| UMBC vs. Howard | Over 141.5 total points scored YES (1.93x) | NO (1.90x) |
| Texas vs. NC State | Over 157.5 total points scores YES (1.86x) | NO (1.93x) |
| Prairie View vs. Lehigh | Over 143.5 total points scores YES (1.97x) | NO (1.83x) |
| Miami OH vs. SMU | Over 164.5 total points scores YES (2.05x) | NO (1.79x) |
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The Kalshi First Four markets in this article are just the tip of the iceberg. There are futures markets, props, and plenty of other prediction markets to keep an eye out for as well.
Kalshi is one of the best ways to make predictions if you want to know how to bet on every March Madness game without participating in online sports betting.
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