Mariners vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 21, 2024

Mariners at Marlins

11:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

27-19

2 - 3

Miami Marlins

19-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 27-19	-1.5-103	o7-115	-175
Marlins 19-27	+1.5-116	u7-105	+145

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 21, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Over 7.5-110

1.1u

G.Kirby u6.5 Ks-145

Kirby under in 10/15, and 6/8 on the road (with a 4.70 ERA). Been trusting the Marlins at home vs righties all season - they also have the second highest zone swing rate, and Kirby pumps the zone, and doesn’t generate many swings and misses (42nd percentile in whiff rate).

Featured Insight
The Mariners have allowed just 3.5 runs per game at home since last season -- lowest in MLB (120 games). The Marlins have scored just 3.6 runs per game on the road since last season -- lowest in MLB (114 games).

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Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 51% this season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Marlins are just 14-26 (.350) at home this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Jazz Chisholm is batting .517 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. George Kirby has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 48% (129/269) on sliders this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 41% (20/49) of opposing batters this month (3 games) -- lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 10-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Marlins' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	24-22	14-12	10-10	2-4	21-18
Mariners	24-22	11-13	13-9	10-16	13-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	28-18	15-11	13-7	3-3	25-14
Mariners	25-19-2	13-9-2	12-10	15-9-2	9-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	19-27	13-13	6-14	4-2	15-24
Mariners	27-19	13-11	14-8	15-11	11-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +130
Jun 18th	STL	W 9-8	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +114
Jun 17th	STL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7	STL +130
Jun 16th	@WSH	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH +104
Jun 15th	@WSH	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH +105

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
Logan Gilbert
SP
Gilbert is out with elbow
Out
George Kirby
SP
Kirby is out with shoulder
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	85	7	5	2
RR.Stanek, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Munoz, P	22	1	0	0
RA.Voth, P	1	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	0
2D.Moore, 3B	0-4	0	0
2D.Moore, 2B	0-4	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	0-2	0	1
4L.Raley, PR	0-0	0	0
4L.Raley, DH	0-0	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	1	0
6T.Locklear, PR	0-0	0	0
6T.Locklear, 1B	0-0	0	0
7M.Haniger, RF	0-4	0	0
8V.Robles, LF	1-3	0	0
8J.Rojas, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Rojas, 3B	0-1	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	3-3	0	1
9D.Canzone, PH	0-1	0	0
9D.Canzone, LF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	90	6.1	5	2
RH.Brazoban, P	8	0.2	2	0
LA.Nardi, P	14	0.2	2	0
RC.Faucher, P	3	0.1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	10	1	0	0
RA.Bender, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	3-4	1	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Sanchez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0	1
7O.Lopez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0