Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2025

Mets at Marlins

8:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

83-79

5 - 0

Miami Marlins

79-83

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Perez			4.25	7-6
C.Holmes			3.53	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 83-79	-1.5	-1.5+120	o8-110	-143
Marlins 79-83	u8.5	+1.5-144	u8-109	+120

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

September 27, 2025

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +120

C.Holmes u2.5 Ks+125

0.63u

Adding a half unit here.

C.Holmes u3.5 Ks-170

0.59u

The workload floor is extremely low for Holmes in this spot. The Mets are tied for the final Wild Card spot, so this is essentially a playoff game for them. Holmes will get a quick hook if he runs into any trouble. He’s been ineffective for months, so trouble is likely to find him. Holmes has been tag-teaming starts with Sean Manaea, but both guys tossed an inning in relief on Wednesday after Jonah Tong. They probably aren’t slated to cover 3-4 innings this time. Miami has the 2nd-lowest K% vs. RHP over the past 30 days. Tonight’s projected lineup has combined for a 17.4% K% across 2,239 plate appearances against righties this season.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	NYM	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +118
Sep 25th	@PHI	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	PHI +131
Sep 24th	@PHI	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +134
Sep 23rd	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +172
Sep 21st	@TEX	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +106

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nicklaus Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Holmes, P	78	6	2
LB.Raley, P	13	1	1
RT.Rogers, P	11	1	1
RE.Diaz, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	1
2J.Soto, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
4B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
6L.Acuna, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	1-3	1	0	0
8R.Mauricio, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Perez, P	100	5.1	11	3
RL.Bachar, P	7	0.2	0	0
RM.Petersen, P	8	0.2	0	0
LJ.Simpson, P	24	1.1	2	0
RG.Soriano, P	35	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Marsee, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Norby, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4L.Hicks, C	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Johnston, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5A.Ramirez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5A.Ramirez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Conine, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6E.Wagaman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Wagaman, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7O.Lopez, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Pauley, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9H.Hernandez, LF	0-1	0	0	0