The Minnesota Timberwolves (13-8) and New Orleans Pelicans (3-19) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EST from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, La. The game will broadcast live on FDSN.
The Timberwolves are 11.5-point favorites over the Pelicans on the spread (Timberwolves -11.5), with the over/under set at 234.5 total points. The Timberwolves are -550 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Pelicans are +400 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Timberwolves vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, December 4.
My Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction
- Timberwolves vs Pelicans pick: Under 234.5 (-110)
My Timberwolves vs Pelicans best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans Odds
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | -550 |
| Pelicans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | +400 |
Timberwolves vs Pelicans NBA Preview
The "Line vs. Public Unders, Road Warriors" system focuses on early-season NBA games where sharp line movement and public bias create value on the under.
When a total drops from open to close despite heavy public action on the over, it signals that professional bettors view the original number as inflated, which appears to be the situation entering tonight's matchup between the Timberwolves and Pelicans.
Early in the season, teams are still finding rhythm, rotations remain inconsistent, and defensive energy often outpaces offensive efficiency.
The market tends to overestimate scoring in this part of the schedule, while sharp money corrects the number downward.
By siding with that adjustment and fading public optimism, this system captures the predictive edge of informed movement and early-season unders that frequently outperform inflated totals.
Overall, the system stands at 223-168-6 (57%) with an 11% ROI across all-time results, and it's off to a 16-12 (57%) start this season with a 9% ROI.
So, let's take the under at 234.5 total points in Pelicans-Wolves tonight.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans Best Bet
- Under 234.5 (-110)
Spread
No play for me on the spread.
Moneyline
I'm not betting either side of the moneyline.
Over/Under
My Pelicans vs Timberwolves betting prediction is on the under at 234.5 total points.
