Game 3 of the NBA Finals will take center stage this Monday — and our NBA betting expert Prop Bomb has locked in his top player prop bet for tonight's matchup between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs.
Let's dive into our NBA Finals player prop bet for Victor Wembanyama in Spurs vs. Knicks Game 3 on Monday, June 8.
NBA Finals Game 3 Player Prop Bet for Monday, June 8
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Spurs vs. Knicks Player Prop Pick
Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Blocks (-104)
Two games into the series, San Antonio committed early to the costliest "smart-sounding" mistake in basketball: chaining the best rim protector in the league to Karl-Anthony Towns and following him out to the three-point line, and something needs to change.
The Spurs surrender the paint, which is why New York keeps feasting on drives and cuts, and it asks Wembanyama to defend the one action he is worst built for: chasing a stretch-five around the arc. The receipt, per Databallr: Towns has shot 67% on effective field goals against him across roughly 50 possessions, his largest matchup of the series.
But late in Game 2, they finally blinked, and we are getting a line that hasn’t caught up to the adjustment.
Down 0-2, the giveaway wasn't on the scoreboard, it was on the film: Wemby peeling off Towns, hanging near a corner, waving the guards onto screens so he never has to leave the paint, then dropping into the lane the second a Knick touched the floor with the ball.
New York went 2-for-8 at the rim in those minutes. That's the version of him worth betting.
Now, the connection to the adjustment: Blocks come from one place, being at the rim when somebody drives it.
Stuck on Towns' out top, he's nowhere near there, babysitting a stretch five who'd rather shoot than attack, and you can't block what never comes to you. Cut him loose as the low man, and he's standing right where every drive finishes.
Now add the desperation. San Antonio cannot go down 0-3, and a must-win should push Wemby above his 35-minute season norm, into the 34-to-40 range.
That matters because in road games that he plays 34-to-40 minutes, he he has cleared this number in nine of 11 and averaged 4.5 blocks, per PropsMadness.
The Knicks will have moments where they’ll drive; relentlessly.
They walked into this round second in the entire playoff field in rim frequency at 33.9% per PBP, and they don't bail into the pass-out: Brunson and Anunoby go downhill to finish.
Anunoby took it straight at Wemby five separate times in Game 2 and dunked one on him.
Those are the reps that turn into blocks, because a player this long doesn't need many looks to swat four shots.
Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Blocks (-104)
