Mexico and Saudi Arabia will face off today at 10:15 p.m. EDT at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ari.
Mexico is favored at a -225 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+100o / -145) goals.
Let's get into my Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia prediction.
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Odds
| Mexico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 2.5 +100o / -145u | -225 |
| Saudi Arabia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 2.5 +100o / -145u | +600 |
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia spread: Mexico -1.5 (+125), Saudi Arabia +1.5 (-175)
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia over/under: 2.5 goals (+100o/-145u)
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia moneyline: Mexico -225, Draw +333, Saudi Arabia +600
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia best bet: Mexico moneyline and over 2.5 goals (+140, BetMGM)
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Prediction
Picks: Mexico ML and Over 2.5 goals.
My Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia best bet is on the Mexico moneyline and over 2.5 goals in this match.
Mexico Prediction
Despite boasting talented players and a strong domestic league, Mexico has struggled to establish itself among the world’s elite national teams. However, within Concacaf, El Tri remains a dominant force as they are the reigning Gold Cup champions and the most successful team in the tournament’s history, with nine titles to their name.
Mexico reached the quarterfinals as the top team in their group, securing two wins (against the Dominican Republic and Suriname) and a scoreless draw with Costa Rica. With the United States and Canada on the other side of the bracket, and barring any major upsets, Mexico is well-positioned for a return to the final, scheduled for July 6 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.
Veteran coach Javier Aguirre returned to the national team last year for his third spell, aiming to revitalize a squad that had disappointed its fans. He made an immediate impact by winning the Concacaf Nations League, though the long-term goal remains a strong performance at the 2026 World Cup, which Mexico will co-host.
For the upcoming match against Saudi Arabia, Aguirre will be without center-back César Montes, who has scored three of Mexico’s five goals in the tournament. Montes is suspended for yellow card accumulation, with Jesús Orozco or Israel Reyes expected to take his place.
Saudi Arabia Prediction
Invited to compete in this year’s Gold Cup, Saudi Arabia reached the quarterfinals after finishing second in their group. They earned four points with a win over Haiti, a loss to the United States and a draw against Trinidad and Tobago.
Backed by immense financial power, Saudi Arabia is striving to become a global soccer hub. Their domestic league has recently attracted international stars like Cristiano Ronaldo and Karim Benzema, and the country has been officially named host of the 2034 World Cup.
Even so, the national team is still searching for success outside of Asia. In an effort to raise the team’s level, globetrotting coach Hervé Renard — who previously managed Morocco, Ivory Coast and Zambia — was brought back to lead the squad.
So far, the turnaround hasn’t materialized. Saudi Arabia is now in danger of missing the next World Cup after losing at home to Australia in the last match of the Asian qualifiers. Their hopes now rest on a do-or-die playoff.
Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Prediction
This matchup has a recent history: the two teams faced off in the group stage of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, where Mexico came away with a 2-1 victory. Several players who featured in that game for El Tri — such as Raúl Jiménez, Alexis Vega and Edson Álvarez — are also part of the squad for these Gold Cup quarterfinals.
Including that clash, Mexico and Saudi Arabia have met six times across official and friendly matches. The head-to-head record is one-sided: five wins for Mexico and one goalless draw. Given the relative strength of both teams, there’s every reason to believe that trend will continue.
In four of those six meetings, the total went over 2.5 goals. In a win-or-go-home scenario like this, over 2.5 is a smart addition for a SGP.
