The Premier League season still has plenty of time left before it wraps up at the end of May, but the campaign so far has offered a glimpse of what the final table might look like.
Arsenal’s blistering pace at the top, Liverpool’s stunning downturn, Chelsea’s resurgence, and yet another disappointing season for Manchester United headline the top storylines. The title race is beginning to narrow, even if there’s still a long way to go.
For those looking to wager on which team will win the EPL, one platform allows users in all 50 states to place real money on the outcome: Kalshi, which blends traditional financial markets with cutting-edge prediction systems.
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Who Will Win the English Premier League?
It’s no surprise that Arsenal is the clear favorite at 67%. Mikel Arteta’s side leads the league by six points, is coming off a statement 4–1 win over bitter rival Tottenham, and appears well-positioned to lift a trophy it hasn’t won since 2003.
The Gunners are unbeaten in 16 matches across all competitions, and the only real question is whether they can maintain this pace. With deeper squad options than in past seasons, there’s little reason to think their momentum will slow.
Manchester City sits second on the board at 20% — a number that seems to reflect its recent history more than its current form. Third in the table and coming off back-to-back losses in the Premier League and Champions League, City is clinging to its hopes thanks largely to Erling Haaland’s exceptional scoring run.
A tier below at 6% is Chelsea, currently second in the standings. Enzo Maresca’s side has shown a far more consistent level than last season, though it remains prone to puzzling setbacks for a title contender — most notably a home loss to Sunderland in late October.
Liverpool opened the season as the title favorite, but its chances have dropped to 3%. Defending the crown now feels more like an epic quest than a realistic possibility for a team sitting 12th in the table and coming off nine losses over its past 12 matches across all competitions.
In a football crisis that seems never-ending, Manchester United is listed at just 2% to win a title it hasn’t claimed since 2012. A home defeat to Everton — despite playing nearly 80 minutes with a man advantage — was the latest blow for the Red Devils, who are stuck in mid-table after three straight winless matches.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
