Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 1, 2024

Astros at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • SNET

Houston Astros

25-24

3 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

24-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Rodriguez			4.47	1-8
H.Brown			3.49	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 25-24	-1.5+124	o8.5-106	-132
Blue Jays 24-24	+1.5-149	u8.5-113	+112

Monday 7:07 p.m.

July 01, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR +110

$1000.00

Over 8.5-105

2.1u

Y.Rodriguez u3.5 Ks-104

0.6u

Y.Rodriguez u3.5 Ks-115

FTN Model pick

TOR +122

H.Brown o4.5 Ks-125

After a gross start, Brown has been such a different pitcher of late. Over his L7 starts, he has a 1.21 ERA, with 6+ Ks in each. In that span, he has a 30.2% CSW% (13th best of 136 pitchers with 20+ IP). The upswing correlates with a bump in velocity as well. The Jays are tough on average - 19.9% vs righties this season. But have been a little worse at home - 21.1%, and of late (23.8% over the L14). Vladdy is banged up, and might be held out too. But either way, Brown has established himself again as an above avg K pitcher, and I have him at about 5.3 strikeouts with ~24 batters faced.

TOR o3.5 Team Total-130

1.95u

H.Brown u5.5 Ks-160

0.75u

Over 8.5-110

Follow all my picks at FTNFantasy.com!

Featured Insight
The Astros are batting .250 versus relief pitchers this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (270-for-1,081) against Blue Jays RPs this season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 4-31 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jose Altuve has an OPS of .892 since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Jose Cuas has allowed an OPS of .780 (545 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 24th -- Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 13-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Blue Jays' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	30-18	17-10	13-8	11-9	19-8
Astros	26-23	13-11	13-12	15-18	11-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	23-24-1	14-12-1	9-12	11-9	11-15-1
Astros	20-27-2	10-14	10-13-2	17-16	2-11-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	24-24	15-12	9-12	11-9	13-14
Astros	25-24	15-9	10-15	18-15	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 30th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY -106
Jun 29th	NYY	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +105
Jun 28th	NYY	L 5-16	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -112
Jun 27th	NYY	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TOR +112
Jun 25th	@BOS	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	TOR +110

Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Spencer Turnbull
RP
Turnbull is out with back
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	99	6	5	0
RR.Montero, P	7	1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	18	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	13	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	1	1
7M.Dubon, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.McCormick, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Rodriguez, P	83	6.2	6	1
RT.Richards, P	11	1.1	1	0
RZ.Pop, P	13	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Barger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Barger, LF	0-1	0	0	0