(FD) Burns has legit upside, but he’s been volatile (3.88 SIERA/3.66 xERA), Matz has shown improvement (17.6 K-BB%). Burns is still the superior pitcher, but TBR proj. LU 34 point wRC+ edge v L/RHP since LY. Don’t want any of the awful TBR bullpen. (good to -105)

(B365) Gil steep decline, but.this price is about my limit.

(FD) Luzardo (2.45 SIERA/3.49 xERA) has pitched better than his 7.94 ERA (.417 BABIP, 41.2 LOB%, 23.1 HR/FB), but Imanaga (up 1.3 mph) has returned to All Star form (2.28/2.55). CHC proj LU 10 pt wRC+ edge v LHP since LY (CHC 125 wRC+ v LHP, PHI 59 as a team this year). CHC one of best defenses in the league (proj. LU +10 FRV already). (Splitting 1u 60/40 because PHI does have the better pen thus far and Palencia on IL).

(FD) See notes on F5 (Would play either to -150)

(FD) See notes on FD - Also, hitter friendly weather, but negative run environment + pitcher leaning umpire.