Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2024

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

2-3

3 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

2-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			4.03	5-1
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 2-3	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-105	+130
Diamondbacks 2-3	u9	-1.5+124	u9-115	-155

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 16, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 9-105

... low humidity over less than 9.5 game 1 or 2 Overall: 488-316-24,61% (ROI:17%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:97%)

CHC +130

1.3u

M.Kelly o17.5 Outs-115

CHC +130

0.65u

Under 9-118

0.5u

Need -118 or 8.5 (+100)

ARI -145 (F5)

$1.45

Over 8.5-120

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 33% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Cubs have allowed a run 32% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Monday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 15, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

75% of non-fastball strikeouts for Nico Hoerner are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 79% of Merrill Kelly non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 8% on outside fastballs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 50% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	4-1	2-0	2-1	1-0	2-1
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	4-1	2-0	2-1	1-0	2-1
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	2-3	2-0	0-3	1-0	0-3
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	STL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -142
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124
Apr 10th	@COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 11	ARI -115
Apr 10th	@COL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 11	ARI -182

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Lourdes Gurriel
LF
Gurriel is out with knee
Out
Merrill Kelly
SP
Kelly is out with back
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Adrian Del Castillo
C
Del Castillo is out with calf
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	84	6	4	1
LL.Little, P	12	1	1	0
LD.Smyly, P	26	1	1	1
RH.Neris, P	12	1	0	0
RK.Thompson, P	29	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-6	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
6G.Cooper, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6A.Canario, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Canario, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
8M.Tauchman, RF	1-5	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	95	5	5	1
LK.Nelson, P	9	1	1	0
RM.Castro, P	13	0.2	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	5	0.1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	26	1	1	1
RB.Jarvis, P	36	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Carroll, CF	1-5	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-5	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0
5B.Alexander, PR	0-0	0	0
5B.Alexander, DH	0-0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-2	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	1-2	0	1
8R.Grichuk, PH	1-2	1	0
8R.Grichuk, RF	1-2	1	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-4	0	0