Orioles vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2023

Orioles at Guardians

11:15 pm • FOX

Baltimore Orioles

13-13

2 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

16-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Gaddis			4.50	2-1
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 13-13	N/A	N/A	N/A
Guardians 16-14	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 11:15 p.m.

September 21, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE +1.5-120

G.Rodriguez o5.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Rodriguez has a solid record so far in the month of September. He was able to rack in 7 Ks against Tampa in his last outing and is currently sitting on a total of 20 Ks & only 6 Runs allowed this month.

CLE +136

0.68u

With a team 139 wRC+ over the L7 days, CLE has their wRC+ v RHP up to 96 on the season. They also have a massively better defense than BAL and while the bullpen is a bit behind, the BAL pen (or at leaest the best pitchers in it) has been heavily used the last few days.

BAL -165

$1.65

BAL -1.5+100

BAL -1.5-107

$1070.00

All officially plays on Vegasinsider, follow me on Twitter, @Reno_Jonny

The Guardians are just 21-21 (.500) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .657 since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .508 (555 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (44/135) against Grayson Rodriguez on fastballs this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has not walked any of the 29 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters -- tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% -- 100th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .427 -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 20th	@KC	L 2-6	-	-	-
Sep 19th	@KC	L 6-7	-	-	-
Sep 18th	@KC	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 17th	TEX	W 9-2	-	-	-
Sep 16th	TEX	W 2-1	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	99	5	7	2
LD.Hall, P	17	1.1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	5	0.2	0	0
LC.Perez, P	14	0	0	3
RJ.Webb, P	26	0.2	0	0
RM.Baumann, P	2	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	3-4	1	0
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	0	1
5C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0
7A. Hicks, RF	2-4	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	0-4	0	0
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-1	0	0
9H.Kjerstad, PH	1-1	0	0
9R.Urias, PR	0-1	1	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Gaddis, P	56	3	1	0
RE.Morgan, P	23	2	3	0
LS.Hentges, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Lopez, P	22	1	2	0
RT.Stephan, P	20	1	1	2
RE.Clase, P	29	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	0
2J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	0	1
3J.Naylor, 1B	0-1	1	1
4K. Calhoun, DH	0-3	0	0
4T.Freeman, PH	0-0	0	0
4T.Freeman, DH	0-0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	0
6R.Laureano, CF	1-3	1	1
6R.Laureano, RF	1-3	1	1
7W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
7M.Straw, PR	0-0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	1
9G.Arias, SS	1-4	0	1