Warriors Remain Overwhelming Title Favorites Despite Game 2 Loss


Golden State Warriors head coach Steve Kerr Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

May 18, 2018, 07:20 PM EDT

The Highlights

  • The Warriors are coming off a 22-point loss to the Rockets in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals.
  • Following the loss, Golden State is a -245 favorite to win the NBA championship.
  • Golden State is a larger favorite to advance to the NBA Finals than Boston, which holds a 2-0 series lead over Cleveland.

The Golden State Warriors suffered their third loss of this NBA postseason Wednesday night, a 127-105 beatdown at the hands of the Houston Rockets. The loss knotted up the Western Conference Finals at 1-1 with the series heading to Oakland for Sunday’s Game 3.


Mainstream sports media personalities have quickly pivoted from “Warriors are unbeatable” to “Rockets have what it takes to win the championship” takes, but oddsmakers aren’t overreacting.

Following a loss in Game 2, Golden State reopened as a -245 favorite to win the NBA championship, followed by Houston (+327), Boston (+1050) and Cleveland (+1550.

After accounting for the vig, odds suggest there’s still a 65.0% chance that the Warriors win the 2018 NBA title, compared to a 21.4% chance for the Rockets, 8.0% for the Celtics and 5.6% for the Cavaliers.

Golden State (-290) is a massive favorite in its series with Houston (+245), implying that the Warriors have a 72.0% chance to advance out of the Western Conference Finals.

While home-court advantage is certainly a factor, betting odds suggest that the Cavaliers, trailing 0-2, still have a better chance of advancing to the NBA Finals than the Rockets.

In Game 3, Golden State opened as a 7-point favorite against Houston and has moved to -7.5 behind 70% of tickets and 66% of early dollars wagered.

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