The Atlanta Hawks (13-8) and Detroit Pistons (16-4) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EST from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Mich. The game will broadcast live on FDSSE.
The Pistons are 9.5-point favorites over the Hawks on the spread (Pistons -9.5), with the over/under set at 234 total points. The Pistons are -390 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Hawks are +320 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hawks vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks for Monday, December 1.
My Hawks vs Pistons Prediction
- Hawks vs Pistons picks: Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (-135), Dyson Daniels Over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)
My Hawks vs Pistons best bet is split between Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds and Dyson Daniels Over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists, with the best price tags currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Hawks vs Pistons Odds
| Hawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -115 | 234 -110o / -110u | +320 |
| Pistons Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -105 | 234 -110o / -110u | -390 |
Hawks vs Pistons NBA Preview
The Hawks just played a double-overtime game last night against Philadelphia.
They did come away with the win, but now they're flying from Philly to Detroit for a matchup with the rested Pistons, who beat the Heat on Saturday despite playing the second leg of a back-to-back after flying in from Detroit following a loss to Orlando on Friday.
You follow all that?
The Pistons had their roughest week in a while, dropping two straight after their 13-game winning streak was snapped, but coming off a big road win with a rest advantage, they appear to be in a prime spot here — at least on paper — against the Hawks, whose injury report should be monitored closely before tipoff.
Small sample sizes, but Detroit is 3-1 against the spread with a rest advantage, while Atlanta is 4-2 ATS with a rest disadvantage.
The Pistons also won 120-112 in Atlanta in their only meeting so far, back on November 18, a game they played on the second night of a back-to-back and a travel day, having flown to Atlanta overnight from Detroit.
It was their 11th straight win during the streak.
Here's the Pistons' injury report:
Jalen Duren (leg) and Caris LeVert (knee) are both probable after sitting out the Miami win. Duncan Robinson (knee) is questionable.
For Atlanta, Trae Young (knee) still won't return for some time, and Kristaps Porzingis (illness) sat out Sunday.
Hawks vs Pistons Prediction, Betting Analysis
Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds
Back to ol' reliable here, somewhat.
Jalen Duren over 11.5 rebounds is my play for this one.
Typically, I've leaned on his points + rebounds prop, but that number has gone under in four straight, including one where I played his over.
His rebounds, though? Still listed at 11.5, a mark he has cleared in three straight, six of his last eight, and seven of his last 10.
The Hawks are below average on the glass, allowing the (tied for) 12th-most rebounds per 100 possessions and grabbing just 41 boards per 100 themselves, the fourth-lowest rate in the league.
If Porzingis does play, that might even help Duren; he's averaging just 26 minutes per game, a career low, and only 10.6 rebounds per 100 possessions, his second-worst figure.
Dyson Daniels Over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists
I'll also shout out Dyson Daniels over 11.5 rebounds + assists.
I'm genuinely surprised this number is still available.
He's gone over in seven of eight, recording 15+ RA in four straight and in six of those seven overs.
The only explanation for keeping the line at 11.5 is that Detroit allows the eighth-fewest rebounds per 100 possessions and the fewest assists, but without Young, Daniels is second on the team in assists (and third in rebounds) and has simply been too strong for this number.
This line is too low.
Hawks vs Pistons Best Bets
- Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (-135)
- Dyson Daniels Over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this contest.
Moneyline
No play for me on the moneyline.
Over/Under
My Pistons vs Hawks betting predictions are on a pair of player prop overs.
Pistons vs Hawks Betting Trends
