Prop bets can be a great way to get action on a game. Bookmakers don’t have to worry about taking a lot of action on them, so there isn’t as great an incentive to post a competitive line.
As a result, props can be some of the most exploitable bets on the board.
These props can become downright unfair when you combine them with the FantasyLabs Player Prop tool.
Thursday was a banner day for the tool, with props with a Bet Quality of at least eight going a ridiculous 24-3:
Sunday’s best props focus on two of the slate’s six games:
- New York Knicks at Washington Wizards: 6 p.m. ET
- Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs: 7 p.m. ET
Lets dive right in.
Knicks SF Damyean Dotson
The Pick: Over 12.5 points (-120)
The Knicks have committed to playing their young guys this season, and that includes Dotson. He’s seen at least 28 minutes in each of his past six games, including a season-high 36.5 in his last game vs. the Mavericks. He’s averaged 15.1 points per 36 minutes this season, so he can score the basketball when given playing time.
He has an awesome matchup with the Wizards, who have been an absolute train wreck this season. They’ve been particularly poor on the defensive end, ranking just 29th in defensive efficiency, according to basketball reference.
Fading the Wizards seems like a smart strategy at the moment, and Dotson is still a relatively unknown commodity. That’s creating some value with this line, which I would play up to -160.
Spurs PF LaMarcus Aldridge
The Pick: Over nine rebounds (-135)
Aldridge has been inconsistent as a rebounder this season, recording 10 or more boards in four contests and eight or fewer in the others. That said, there are reasons to like Aldridge today vs. the Orlando Magic.
They are last in the NBA in offensive efficiency (per basketball reference), which should give Aldridge plenty of opportunities to rebound on the defensive end of the court. The Magic have also struggled on the glass, owning the seventh-lowest rebound rate in the league.
The Spurs will likely be without Rudy Gay (right heel soreness) on today’s slate, which should give Aldridge a rebounding boost as well. He has increased his rebound rate from 14.8% to 22.2% with Gay off the floor this season, and he could see a few additional minutes of playing time.
This is one of the highest rated bets in the FantasyLabs Player Prop tool, and it makes sense given the elite matchup. I like this up to -175.
