James Harden, Joel Embiid Player Props: Betting Odds & Trends for 76ers vs. Knicks (March 2)

James Harden, Joel Embiid Player Props: Betting Odds & Trends for 76ers vs. Knicks (March 2) article feature image
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Adam Hunger/Getty Images. Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers teammates Joel Embiid, left, and James Harden.

Anyone who blindly took James Harden and Joel Embiid player prop overs on Sunday vs. the Knicks has a loaded betting account for the foreseeable future.

Harden, in his second game since joining the team, went off for a triple-double; every single one of his player prop overs — from 3-pointers to combined points, rebounds and assists — cashed.

Meanwhile, Embiid hung 37 and nine in the win, and also surpassed his fair share of props.

So, what does the dynamic duo have in store for Wednesday's rematch in Philly?

Let's dive into Harden- and Embiid-related player props for Round 2 against the Knicks, including how the numbers and prices compare to the previous matchup.

James Harden Player Props vs. Knicks (Sunday)

Points: 23.5
Rebounds: 6.5
Assists: 10.5
3-Pointers: 2.5
Points + Rebounds: 29.5
Points + Assists: 32.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 39.5

James Harden Player Props vs. Knicks (Wednesday)

Points: 24.5
Rebounds: 7.5
Assists: 11.5
3-Pointers: 2.5
Points + Rebounds: 31.5
Points + Assists: 36.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 44.5

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Harden saw a pretty consistent adjustment across the board on his prop totals after erupting for 29 points, 16 assists and 10 rebounds on Sunday. His assist total in particular sticks out.

While we've seen mostly 10.5's painted, PointsBet bumped the number up to a market peak of 11.5. Harden has produced double-digit assists in each of his first two games in a Sixers uniform.

However, the Knicks' defense has allowed the seventh-fewest assists per game to opposing point guards (7.34) this season.

The only number that didn't warrant much of a tweak was Harden's three-point total. It's held firm at 2.5, albeit some fluctuation on the chalk.

You can still get over 2.5 -110 at Caesars for Wednesday's tilt. The Knicks give up the third-most triples per game to point guards.

Joel Embiid Player Props vs. Knicks (Sunday)

Points: 29.5
Rebounds: 11.5
Assists: 3.5
3-Pointers: 1.5
Points + Rebounds: 41.5
Points + Assists: 33.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 45.5

Joel Embiid Player Props vs. Knicks (Wednesday)

Points: 31.5
Rebounds: 11.5
Assists: 3.5
3-Pointers: 1.5
Points + Rebounds: 42.5
Points + Assists: 34.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 46.5

The biggest adjustment from Sunday's props to Wednesday's is Embiid's point total, and for good reason. The odds-on MVP favorite (-120) is also the NBA leader in points per game (29.8) this season.

Naturally, Embiid's point total over/under is the highest on the board. However, it might be a nice time to sell high on a potentially inflated number.

New York has given centers fits this season, surrendering the fourth-fewest points and second-fewest overall fantasy points to the position.

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Nick Sterling
May 13, 2024 UTC