The Detroit Pistons are traveling back to Florida for Game 6 against the Orlando Magic, who lead 3-2 in the Eastern Conference playoffs.
In a game as meaningful as this one, we aren't just looking for standard lines — we’re looking for the "ceiling" performances. That’s where the ladder pick comes in. If you think a player might go way over their line, you bet their standard over, then "ladder" up into alternate territories (25+, 30+, 35+) for a higher payout.
Today, I'm targeting Pistons wing Tobias Harris. Let's get into my Pistons vs. Magic props for Game 6 on Friday, May 1.
Magic vs Pistons Props for Game 6
- Tobias Harris Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
- Tobias Harris 18+ Points / 6+ Rebounds (+213)
Tobias Harris Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds
Tobias Harris has gotten ample opportunity this series because of Orlando's focus on Jalen Duren.
Speaking of opportunity, let's look at usage to get a sense of what the Magic have been doing defensively against the Pistons this series.
Regular Season Usage Rate:
- Jalen Duren: 23.6
- Tobias Harris: 18.8
Usage Rate This Series:
- Jalen Duren: 17.1
- Tobias Harris: 24.9
By the way, because Duren's pick-and-roll partner can't do anything offensively this series because Orlando's taking away his shots at the rim, Cade Cunningham's usage is up from 30.5 to 36.1.
The Magic are content to let Harris beat them because they know they can win the series even if Harris is effective, since Duren isn't.
Harris has made use of this increased role via productivity, but whether it will be enough to push for a Game 7 is up for debate. That's not our problem, though.
Harris has recorded, in order: 23, 27, 30, 26 and 31 points plus rebounds in this series, while getting at least 18 points in three straight (and in 3-of-5 this series, to be fair) while never falling below six boards.
Action PRO projects him for 23.6 PR in this game.
Franz Wagner being out and not being an option for Cunningham or Harris helps, also.
Bryan Fonseca's Pistons vs. Magic Escalator
- Tobias Harris Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-111, DraftKings)
- Tobias Harris 18+ Points / 6+ Rebounds (+213, Fanatics)
