Friday’s NBA Injury Report: Betting, DFS Impact of Luka Doncic, Devin Booker Injuries
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1).
- The NBA Injury Report details the slate's key injuries and their betting and DFS impact.
- In this piece, we'll break down the impact of the injuries to Devin Booker, Luka Doncic and more.
Friday night’s NBA slate features 13 games with tons of injuries and questionable players. We’ll analyze the following two situations:
- Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks: 8 p.m. ET
- New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns: 10 p.m. ET
Injuries: Luka Doncic (thigh), Dwight Powell (rest) and Jalen Brunson (rest) are out. Dorian Finney-Smith (mouth) is probable.
Injury background: With four games left in the regular season, the Mavs have a lengthy injury report heading into Friday’s contest against the Grizzlies.
Doncic is listed out with a right thigh contusion despite returning from the same injury last game. Powell and Brunson will both rest, while Finney-Smith is expected to suit up after needing eight stitches in his lip.
Tonight’s impact: A very shorthanded team could lead to immense value in DFS. In Doncic’s recent two absences, Courtney Lee entered the starting lineup while Trey Burke shouldered the offensive load.
Burke exceeded 30 DraftKings points in each game with a 25.6% usage rate. He led the team with 30 minutes per game and could step into even heavier playing time with both Doncic and Brunson out. At $4,200 on FanDuel, he makes for one of the slate’s strongest plays.
Ryan Broekhoff and Daryl Macon are candidates to enter the rotation depending on who is available. With Powell out, Maxi Kleber and Salah Mejri would benefit from additional minutes. Kleber has recorded a FantasyLabs’ +3.16 DraftKings Plus/Minus over his last 10 games, while Mejri ranks second on the team with 1.01 DraftKings points per minute since the DeAndre Jordan trade, per the NBA On/Off tool.
Both teams have incentive to lose with identical current records of 31-47. According to Tankathon, each team has an 8.3% chance at the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 NBA Draft. Opposing point guard Mike Conley (ankle) has already been ruled out, and the game becomes harder to handicap with a plethora of backups playing.
When Doncic has been off the court this season, the Mavs defense has actually improved from a 109.9 Defensive Rating to a 104.4 Defensive Rating. If each team carries a thin rotation with a lack of star power, the under of 215 likely provides the most value.