NBA Player Props Odds, Picks (Friday, Aug. 7): Value on Tobias Harris and Pascal Siakam
Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Pascal Siakam #43 of the Toronto Raptors.
- Betting Friday's NBA slate of games? We have you covered with two prop bets courtesy of our FantasyLabs tools
- See why there is value in betting Pascal Siakam's rebounds (Over/Under 6.5) and Tobias Harris' rebounds (O/U 6.5).
Editors note: Steven Adams has been ruled out Friday due to a leg contusion. For more injury updates check out our Labs Insider tool.
Betting on props can be one of the easiest ways to build your bankroll. Sportsbooks tend to offer lower limits and take less action on props than they do on games, so they don’t have as much incentive to post an accurate line.
That’s where our Player Prop tool comes in handy. We compare our industry-leading NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks to identify the best plays each day. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.
Here’s how those props did this season prior to the shut down:
|FantasyLabs Grade||Win-Loss (Win Pct)|
|Bet Quality of 10||775-572 (57%)|
|Bet Quality of 9||942-776 (54%)|
|Bet Quality of 8||1432-1263 (52%)|
Tonight’s props come from two of the slate’s six games:
- Magic vs. Sixers at 6:30 p.m. ET on TNT
- Celtics vs. Raptors at 9 p.m. ET on TNT
NBA Player Prop Bets
Philadelphia 76ers, Tobias Harris
The Prop: Over 6.5 rebounds (FanDuel)
Tobias Harris has always been a solid rebounder, but now the 76ers will need him to elevate his glass-cleaning numbers for the foreseeable future.
Ben Simmons, the Sixers’ No. 2 rebounder, was ruled out indefinitely Thursday (subluxation of left patella), according to Jason Owens of Yahoo Sports. Harris is fourth on the team in rebounds behind Joel Embiid, Simmons and Al Horford.
For Friday’s game, though, Harris should have no problem on the boards against one of his former teams. According to NBA.com stats, Harris has grabbed 10.5 rebounds a game in two games against the Magic; that’s his highest average against any team.
Harris has tallied 6.8 rebounds this season, and our player prop tool projects him to grab eight rebounds. I would take the over here and bet to 7.
Toronto Raptors, Pascal Siakam
The Prop: Over 6.5 rebounds (FanDuel)
Pascal Siakam leaps off his feet relatively easily when the ball is coming off the rim.
He knows how to use his length and hops to clear space and sky for rebounds, and because of that skill and athleticism, he’s grabbed a career-high 7.5 rebounds per game this season.
Siakam has averaged 7.0 rebounds during three games in the bubble, with his high being nine against the Los Angeles Lakers. Considering the Lakers are the No. 8 rebounding team in the NBA, Siakam should fare similarly against the Celtics, the league’s No. 9 rebounding team.
The league’s reigning Most Improved Player has continued to make strides and show why he’s a top-tier player. Enes Kanter and Jayson Tatum are Boston’s top two rebounders, and Kanter’s ability to quickly secure the ball is one of his best attributes. Siakam will have a tough task, but he’s capable of competing down low.
Our player prop tool projects Siakam will grab 8.9 rebounds, and that’s a likely outcome considering he is aggressive and energetic on the glass. I would take the over here and bet to 7.5.
Oklahoma City Thunder, Steven Adams
The Prop: Over 11.5 points (FanDuel)
The Thunder earned their best win of the bubble Wednesday against the Lakers, and Steven Adams had his best game.
Adams scored 18 points and shot 7-of-10 from the floor. He grabbed seven rebounds and dished two assists, benefiting from Chris Paul finding the creases in the Lakers’ defense.
Adams has greatly benefited this season from Paul’s floor generalship. According to NBA.com stats, Adams receives 8.9 passes a game from Paul, and he shoots 52.7% from the field off passes from him. Adams has regularly been one of the NBA’s best roll men, so it’s no surprise he’s paired well with Paul.
With the Thunder playing the struggling Grizzlies, they should be primed for success again. Adams has scored 14.5 points a game this season in two games against Memphis, and the two teams have split the season series 1-1.
Adams has scored 11.1 points per game, grabbed 9.4 rebounds a game and shot 59.5% from the field this season. He’s performed slightly better in OKC’s three seeding games. He’s scored 14.3 points per game, grabbed 9.3 rebounds a game and shot 65.4% from the field.
Our player prop tool projects Adams will score 12.9 points, and that’s feasible because of his recent performances. I would take the over here and bet to 12.5.