Saturday’s Best NBA Player Prop Betting Picks: Bradley Beal in Smash Spot
Photo credit: Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Bradley Beal
- Saturday's nine-game NBA slate features three player prop bets offering value
- This piece will focus on Wizards SG Bradley Beal, Warriors PF Marquese Chriss, and Kings C Dewayne Dedmon
Betting on props can be one of the easiest ways to build your bankroll. Sportsbooks tend to offer lower limits and take less action on props than they do on games, so they don’t have as much incentive to post an accurate line.
That’s where our Player Prop tool comes in handy. We compare our industry-leading NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks to identify the best plays each day. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.
Odds as of Saturday afternoon. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
How about a little reminder on just how impressively these bets did last season? Props with a Bet Quality of 10 posted a win rate of 60.31%, and props with a Bet Quality of nine won at a 58.82% clip.
As is the case with most sports, betting on unders proved to be more profitable than betting on overs last season:
- Unders with a Bet Quality of 10: 341-172 (66.47%)
- Unders with a Bet Quality of 9: 457-273 (62.6%)
- Unders with a Bet Quality of 8: 898-589 (60.39%)
- Unders with a Bet Quality of 7: 1447-1086 (57.13%)
- Unders with a Bet Quality of 6: 1992-1663 (54.95%)
Overall, if you just blind bet every under with a Bet Quality of eight or higher, you would’ve won at a 62.1% clip on more than 2,700 bets.
Tonight’s props come from three of the slate’s nine games:
- Brooklyn Nets at Washington Wizards: 8 p.m. ET
- Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers: 8 p.m. ET
- Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings: 10 p.m. ET
Let’s dive in.
Wizards SG Bradley Beal
THE PICK: Over 5.5 assists (-132)
Beal has had to take on more playmaking responsibilities this year with John Wall out of the lineup, and he’s done an admirable job. He’s averaged a career-best 6.4 assists per game, and he’s handed out at least six assists in six of his past seven contests.