Monday NBA Sharp Report: Pros Betting Rockets-Pacers, Grizzlies-Warriors

Nov 06, 2018 9:25 PM EST
  • Wiseguys are betting two NBA games on Monday night, headlined by Houston Rockets-Indiana Pacers (7 p.m. ET).
  • Sharps are also getting down on Memphis Grizzlies-Golden State Warriors (10:30 p.m. ET).

Historically, betting every Over in the NBA regular season has been a massive loser for the public and huge moneymaker for the sportsbooks.

Since 2005, Overs have gone 8,179-8,285 (49.7%), losing -515.3 units according to Bet Labs. This means a $100 bettor taking every Over would have lost over $51,500.

However, this year we’ve seen an Over renaissance. Thanks to rule changes, teams pushing the pace and the league-wide commitment to shooting more three-pointers, the Over has gone 76-62 (55.1%), winning +10.27 units.

Are sharp bettors going to tail the Over wave tonight? Or stick to their contrarian guns knowing regression is on the way?

After analyzing Monday’s nine-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed two NBA over/under bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. ET.


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary

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Credit:

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry

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222.5
+6.5
219
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232
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215.5
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215
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222.5
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220
+7.5