NBA Sharp Betting Picks: Pros Doubling Down in Nuggets vs. Thunder (Monday, Aug. 3)

NBA Sharp Betting Picks: Pros Doubling Down in Nuggets vs. Thunder (Monday, Aug. 3) article feature image
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Photo by Garrett Ellwood/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets

It didn't take long for the market to correct. After blasting NBA totals into orbit for the first couple days of the sport's restart, bettors have pivoted to unders on Monday.

Over/unders have dropped in five of today's six games since open, and sharps have played a large hand in those line moves.

But it's not just totals attracting smart money on Monday. In fact, pros have taken two separate positions on today's Nuggets vs. Thunder (4 p.m. ET) matchup — one each on the spread and over/under.

Using The Action Network's tools, let's examine how wiseguys are playing Nuggets vs. Thunder.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Sharp Betting Picks

*Odds as of Monday at 11 a.m. ET

As mentioned above, today is a day of NBA unders and that includes Nuggets vs. Thunder.

About 45% of tickets have landed on the under, but they account for a crazy 96% of money wagered. With such a sizable monetary liability, it's not at all surprising to see this number ticking from 219.5 to 219.

Sharps are doling out the dollars on the under as well, evidenced by two Sports Insights Bet Signals — evidence of smart money hitting the market — triggered on that side of the total.

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 219.5 to 218.5) [Bet now at BetMGM and get a $500 INSTANT deposit match]

But the pros didn't stop there. Similar to the total, the spread is showing a massive bet-vs.-dollars discrepancy as just 44% of bets are laying the points with the Thunder, yet that minority makes up 85% of dollars wagered.

Again, oddsmakers have taken note, moving Oklahoma City from -4.5 to -6 in order to account for the significantly one-sided money.

Sharp angle: Thunder (moved from -4.5 to -6) [Bet now at BetMGM and get a $500 INSTANT deposit match]

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Nick Sterling
Apr 18, 2024 UTC