The San Antonio Spurs (55-18) and Milwaukee Bucks (29-43) will square off in the NBA this afternoon. Tipoff is set for 3:00 p.m. ET from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game will broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Spurs are 18.5-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread (Spurs -18.5), with the over/under set at 225.5 total points. San Antonio is a -2100 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Milwaukee is +1100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Spurs vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, March 28.
Spurs vs Bucks Prediction, Pick
- Spurs vs Bucks pick: De’Aaron Fox Under 15.5 Points (-102)
My Bucks vs. Spurs best bet is on De’Aaron Fox to score under 15.5 points in today's game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Spurs vs Bucks Odds
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-18.5 -112 | 225.5 -115o / -105u | -2100 |
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+18.5 -108 | 225.5 -115o / -105u | +1100 |
Spurs vs Bucks NBA Preview
Today's game between the Bucks and Spurs has the makings of a bloodbath.
I was originally eyeing some Spurs' first half lines in this spot — but ultimately, I decided to target the prop market and take De'Aaron Fox to score less than 15.5 points.
The Spurs have won nine games by 20+ points in which Fox has played this season, and Fox has stayed Under this line in six of those games. San Antonio is an 18.5-point favorite over the Bucks today — so automatically, I lean toward Fox's Under in this spot.
Fox was sidelined last game, so he might already be slated for less minutes than usual, even before we factor in the chances of the Spurs blowing out the Bucks in this matchup.
Action PRO projects Fox for 14.5 points against Milwaukee today, providing a solid 11.6% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 15.5, which is good enough to mark the Under with a B grade in our system.
The market is projecting him for 28 minutes in this spot, but that number could fall to 24 minutes or lower in the case of a blowout. So, 15.5 points is a tough number for me to get to — even against a really bad opponent.
Spurs vs Bucks Predictions, Betting Analysis
I'm usually a little bit scared of taking Unders when it comes to good players, and this number is below his points per game average for the season — but I really love Fox's Under in today's game.
With Fox coming off a minor injury, and a potential blowout on the horizon in Milwaukee, I think there's a good chance his workload is limited in this spot.
Give me Fox Under 15.5 points on Saturday afternoon.
Pick: De’Aaron Fox Under 15.5 Points (-102, DraftKings)
Spread
I'm not taking either side of the spread.
Moneyline
I have no interest in the moneyline.
Over/Under
My Spurs vs. Bucks betting prediction is De'Aaron Fox under 15.5 points.
